NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	75		Excitement	3.7 [1034]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (TOR): +11.2%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.0 [1027]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -12.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	58%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	7	47%	-0.00	3	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.02	-0.07	8	0%	-0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	14	32%	-0.09	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	10	81%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.06	13	69%	0.04	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	7	53%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	62%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	0.10	16	64%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	5	31%	-0.06	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	32.1	15.4	31.3	2.0	27.0	133.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +26.3%

TOR +13.6%

TOR +6.9%

TOR +1.2%

TOR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	14.2	15.5	76.5	106.1	100.9
season	15.1	15.8		99.7	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		101.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.0	13.8	14.9	15.3	15.0
TOR	12.3	15.7	12.2	17.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	27	27	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.33	-9	-21	12	16.7	14.4	2.35	14.9	14.0	0.84
Jerome Moiso	22	22	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.32	-9	-21	12	17.8	14.2	3.58	13.7	14.4	-0.72
Bryant Stith	49	48	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.17	6	-36	42	14.7	15.3	-0.61	15.8	12.8	3.05
Vitaly Potapenko	50	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-26	22	14.8	15.2	-0.41	15.7	12.7	2.94
Mark Blount	23	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-24	18	13.2	15.6	-2.39	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Chris Carr	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.40	-19	-11	-8	15.7	14.7	0.97	14.6	14.1	0.52
Randy Brown	60	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.22	-14	-16	2	14.7	15.4	-0.73	14.2	14.3	-0.15
Rick Brunson	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	-15	0	15.4	14.7	0.73	14.3	14.2	0.15
Tony Battie	39	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-17	4	15.4	14.7	0.64	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Eric Williams	38	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-24	18	13.9	15.7	-1.81	14.0	14.4	-0.45
Antoine Walker	59	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.31	-25	-5	-20	14.9	15.2	-0.26	13.3	15.5	-2.17
Paul Pierce	53	54	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	0.38	-36	6	-42	14.5	15.6	-1.15	12.7	16.1	-3.39

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	70	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.70	46	-16	62	13.1	16.9	-3.80	15.4	14.0	1.42
Antonio Davis	76	77	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.57	38	-8	46	13.6	16.2	-2.57	15.6	12.8	2.85
Vince Carter	68	68	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.63	39	-9	48	13.5	15.8	-2.28	14.9	15.2	-0.24
Charles Oakley	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.55	32	-2	34	13.3	15.5	-2.20	15.6	14.2	1.42
Corliss Williamson	51	51	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.38	26	4	22	12.9	15.6	-2.72	15.1	14.9	0.25
Tyrone Corbin	25	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	34	-38	14.9	14.0	0.85	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Kevin Willis	45	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.22	-6	36	-42	15.1	13.5	1.63	13.6	16.1	-2.49
Kornel David	21	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	35	-40	17.0	13.5	3.56	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Dell Curry	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	32	-34	17.1	13.9	3.18	11.7	15.3	-3.67
Morris Peterson	36	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	32	-34	16.0	13.2	2.81	15.9	14.5	1.45
Alvin Williams	37	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.25	-12	42	-54	16.5	12.9	3.67	14.1	15.5	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 82, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 77, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MEM 99, NOK 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%