NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	87		Excitement	4.5 [907]		MVP	Charles R. Jones (LAC): +9.1%
Denver Nuggets	114		Comeback	1.2 [1187]		LVP	Derek Anderson (LAC): -18.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles R. Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.00	-0.06	6	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	17	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	11	36%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	3	0%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	13	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	14	36%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	8	56%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	16	31%	-0.12	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Herren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	75%	0.03	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	18	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.07	15	60%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	25.4	15.5	26.5	1.6	28.1	121.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.4%

DEN +12.9%

LAC -6.7%

DEN +4.2%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.9	12.7	15.2	82.1	111.8	101.7
season	15.6	14.8		95.5	101.5
opponent	15.0	14.3		103.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	15.1	15.5	13.7	14.9
DEN	11.7	14.2	12.0	13.0	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles R. Jones	43	42	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.28	-6	-21	15	13.6	15.8	-2.24	14.4	11.5	2.87
Troy Hudson	11	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-20	13	11.2	15.4	-4.19	8.8	13.1	-4.34
Anthony Avent	30	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.35	-14	-13	-1	12.3	16.0	-3.72	12.4	12.8	-0.47
Pete Chilcutt	31	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.29	-16	-11	-5	14.4	15.2	-0.82	11.4	13.3	-1.91
Michael Olowokandi	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-27	27	15.4	14.3	1.06	13.6	11.4	2.20
Jeff McInnis	71	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-13	-1	15.3	14.3	0.97	12.8	12.6	0.24
Lamar Odom	54	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	-11	-5	14.6	15.3	-0.73	12.5	13.0	-0.48
Eric Piatkowski	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-10	-7	15.5	14.2	1.29	11.9	13.8	-1.90
Maurice Taylor	61	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.10	-17	-10	-7	17.0	12.1	4.91	11.8	14.0	-2.22
Derek Anderson	75	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.05	-24	-3	-21	15.6	13.4	2.23	12.8	12.5	0.27

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	65	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	8	11	13.7	11.0	2.69	15.4	13.9	1.52
Chris Gatling	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.42	29	-2	31	11.9	13.8	-1.98	15.2	14.6	0.64
James Posey	63	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.37	27	0	27	12.5	13.1	-0.54	14.7	15.4	-0.77
Keon Clark	59	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	15	-3	13.9	11.1	2.72	15.1	14.6	0.48
Raef LaFrentz	74	75	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	12	3	13.7	10.1	3.64	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Antonio McDyess	65	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	19	-11	12.8	12.6	0.19	15.6	13.6	2.09
George McCloud	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	25	-23	12.9	12.6	0.25	15.8	14.4	1.42
Ryan Bowen	27	28	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.34	14	13	1	10.6	13.5	-2.84	11.4	16.2	-4.81
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	16	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	12.4	12.8	-0.33	19.1	14.3	4.77
Popeye Jones	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	8.6	13.0	-4.45	8.5	15.5	-6.96
Chris Herren	37	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.24	8	19	-11	11.0	13.7	-2.69	13.9	15.4	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 105, CHI 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CLE 113, GSW 132	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ATL 89, POR 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%