NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	3.4 [1087]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +20.3%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	1.1 [1196]		LVP	Walt Williams (HOU): -7.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	14	76%	0.11	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	5	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Gray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	13	67%	0.02	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	39%	-0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Walt Williams	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	17	44%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.05	-0.01	24	66%	0.23	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.03	16	55%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	8	40%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	9	40%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.6	27.1	15.5	25.3	2.3	27.3	124.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.2%

IND +0.4%

IND +7.7%

IND +6.3%

IND +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.2	106.2	115.6	101.7
season	15.4	15.4		102.4	106.5
opponent	15.1	14.6		101.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	15.2	13.7	14.7	15.0
IND	13.4	13.1	15.7	18.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Gray	10	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-4	-1	14.1	15.1	-1.03	12.3	15.3	-2.92
Carlos Rogers	20	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-5	1	15.8	14.8	0.98	12.3	15.7	-3.38
Kelvin Cato	60	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-13	17	13.7	17.1	-3.39	16.0	13.4	2.60
Hakeem Olajuwon	28	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	1	-11	17.6	14.0	3.60	13.7	15.5	-1.80
Walt Williams	57	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-7	5	15.4	14.4	0.99	14.9	15.1	-0.21
Moochie Norris	37	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	14.8	15.2	-0.39	15.1	14.9	0.25
Kenny Thomas	36	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	4	-17	16.9	13.9	3.08	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Cuttino Mobley	65	66	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.31	1	-10	11	13.8	17.6	-3.88	15.2	14.5	0.65
Shandon Anderson	86	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-4	-1	15.1	14.3	0.80	15.1	13.9	1.21
Steve Francis	81	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	14.9	15.7	-0.84	15.4	12.5	2.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	90	90	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-2	13	15.1	13.2	1.93	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Jalen Rose	90	89	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-2	13	15.1	13.2	1.93	15.0	15.6	-0.59
Reggie Miller	72	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-3	15	15.1	14.7	0.36	15.6	13.2	2.36
Sam Perkins	50	50	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	3	3	15.0	14.9	0.13	14.5	15.6	-1.05
Mark Jackson	51	49	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	2	5	15.0	15.0	0.04	15.6	14.5	1.08
Travis Best	45	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	7	-5	15.0	15.0	-0.04	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Rik Smits	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	6	-3	14.9	15.0	-0.13	15.6	14.5	1.05
Al Harrington	30	31	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	14	-19	14.4	15.2	-0.84	13.8	15.6	-1.84
Zan Tabak	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	11	-13	13.2	15.1	-1.93	16.0	15.0	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.96,1,1	96.6%
PHI 90, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	96.3%
WAS 92, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.1%