NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	9.6 [78]		MVP	Kevin Willis (TOR): +11.7%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	3.0 [544]		LVP	John Amaechi (ORL): -57.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monty Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	70%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chucky Atkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	14	47%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Michael Doleac	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	87%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.16,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26	-0.12	-0.17	-0.02	12	21%	-0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.39	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.39	-0.13	-0.25	0.00	17	29%	-0.32	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.58	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.01,-0.58	-0.10	-0.47	0.01	5	73%	-0.17	7	-0.41	5	60%	-0.34

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.11	0.00	11	45%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.03	13	63%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.10
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	21	55%	0.06	2	-0.09	13	69%	-0.01
Haywoode Workman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	12	37%	-0.13	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.05
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.32,-0.3	-0.30	-0.18	-0.12	-0.01	12	25%	-0.22	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	27.4	15.8	28.1	2.4	45.3	146.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -27.3%

TOR +59.9%

ORL -21.1%

TOR +38.1%

TOR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.8	15.2	97.8	99.0	101.7
season	13.6	15.5		100.4	101.8
opponent	14.9	15.4		102.1	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.7	15.2	14.0	15.6	14.6
TOR	15.0	17.5	16.5	14.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	6	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-4	4	14.0	14.7	-0.68	16.6	15.7	0.87
Ron Mercer	69	70	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.30	8	-12	20	14.1	16.2	-2.07	15.9	15.5	0.44
Ben Wallace	46	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	0	-4	13.9	15.4	-1.51	15.5	16.2	-0.79
Anthony Johnson	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	4	-12	16.6	14.0	2.62	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Bo Outlaw	37	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	2	-8	14.2	14.9	-0.74	15.6	16.0	-0.37
Chucky Atkins	40	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-9	14	14.9	14.5	0.42	14.5	16.8	-2.27
Michael Doleac	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-2	0	15.7	13.9	1.82	17.2	14.9	2.34
John Amaechi	54	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-4	4	14.1	15.4	-1.25	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Monty Williams	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-1	-2	15.2	14.0	1.18	16.0	15.6	0.45
Pat Garrity	41	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-2	0	15.2	14.2	1.09	15.4	16.1	-0.78
Darrell Armstrong	62	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	4	-12	14.2	15.5	-1.27	16.7	14.0	2.78

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	70	66	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-5	14	15.1	17.8	-2.72	14.2	15.8	-1.66
Tracy McGrady	82	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-4	12	15.5	17.5	-1.96	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Doug Christie	64	62	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.46	3	1	2	16.2	15.0	1.23	15.0	14.0	0.95
Vince Carter	75	72	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	0	4	15.7	16.2	-0.47	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Kevin Willis	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.41	-2	6	-8	15.9	15.7	0.15	15.1	13.8	1.37
John Thomas	35	32	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	-1	6	16.6	15.4	1.22	14.5	14.7	-0.25
Muggsy Bogues	46	44	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	3	-2	15.8	15.8	0.05	13.7	15.4	-1.72
Dell Curry	38	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	4	-4	15.1	16.3	-1.27	16.0	13.5	2.53
Haywoode Workman	11	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	12	-20	20.7	15.2	5.54	12.4	14.9	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 112, ATL 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.67,0.67,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.59,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.42,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.41,1	92.2%
IND 81, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.63,0.59,0.28,1	92.1%
MIL 93, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.72,1	91.0%