NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	5.8 [650]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +24.1%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	3.3 [508]		LVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): -18.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.07	-0.01	16	72%	0.24	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.03	17	68%	0.12	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	111%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	14	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Chris Mullin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	14	48%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	73%	0.09	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	11	64%	0.01	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.04
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.08	0.03	17	42%	-0.13	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	29.3	15.4	26.5	1.7	36.2	132.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.5%

ATL -1.7%

ATL -8.4%

IND +16.3%

IND +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.2	118.9	111.5	101.7
season	15.4	15.4		106.5	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	13.5	13.4	18.0	14.8
ATL	17.0	15.3	13.7	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	61	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-10	26	13.5	17.2	-3.71	15.6	14.9	0.66
Reggie Miller	86	87	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-3	12	14.7	16.0	-1.30	15.1	18.0	-2.94
Austin Croshere	67	68	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-6	18	14.4	15.8	-1.37	15.7	14.4	1.28
Jalen Rose	83	84	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	-1	8	15.1	13.2	1.89	16.2	9.1	7.14
Rik Smits	37	38	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	3	0	15.9	14.1	1.84	16.9	14.3	2.54
Sam Perkins	56	56	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	7	-8	14.2	15.7	-1.57	14.2	16.9	-2.77
Derrick McKey	30	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	8	-10	15.5	14.5	1.04	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Chris Mullin	21	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	10	-14	14.4	14.9	-0.56	12.9	16.0	-3.11
Travis Best	34	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.19	-10	16	-26	17.2	13.5	3.71	14.9	15.6	-0.66

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	33	34	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-9	12	13.6	16.2	-2.59	15.5	14.4	1.10
LaPhonso Ellis	40	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-11	16	14.9	15.6	-0.70	16.8	13.3	3.45
Chris Crawford	13	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	1	-8	16.2	15.2	1.04	12.4	15.2	-2.81
Bimbo Coles	50	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-10	14	14.6	16.1	-1.45	15.2	14.4	0.74
Isaiah Rider	16	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	2	-10	14.9	15.4	-0.48	11.5	15.4	-3.98
Jim Jackson	80	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-8	10	15.4	14.9	0.48	15.4	11.5	3.98
Jason Terry	46	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	4	-14	16.1	14.6	1.45	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Roshown McLeod	57	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-3	0	15.6	14.9	0.69	14.4	15.4	-1.04
Dikembe Mutombo	63	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	3	-12	16.2	13.6	2.59	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Alan Henderson	82	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	1	-8	15.2	16.1	-0.95	14.5	16.3	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.77,0.7,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 128, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
DEN 114, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.05,0.14,0.13,0.02,0,0	93.4%
TOR 110, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%