NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	6.8 [458]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +20.5%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	2.1 [704]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -24.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	65%	0.13	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.04
Terrell Brandon	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.13	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Sealy	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
William Avery	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	3	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	13	50%	-0.00	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	16	46%	-0.05	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Joe Smith	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	10	55%	0.01	4	-0.16	2	0%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	-0.00	14	65%	0.20	0	0.00	9	100%	0.08
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	15	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	12	100%	0.06
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.06	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	17	42%	-0.07	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24	-0.24	-0.19	-0.09	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	6	-0.23	10	80%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	26.1	14.7	31.2	2.3	42.6	141.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -29.8%

PHX +42.2%

PHX +21.8%

PHX +15.4%

PHX +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.2	14.5	15.2	100.0	105.9	101.7
season	15.1	14.8		103.5	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		96.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	14.0	15.6	12.8	14.2
PHX	15.4	16.0	13.2	13.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	26	25	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.10	6	-13	19	11.8	15.0	-3.18	14.0	14.6	-0.61
Rasho Nesterovic	27	27	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.01	7	-14	21	13.3	14.5	-1.24	16.1	13.9	2.26
Dean Garrett	21	21	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-9	11	14.9	14.0	0.83	15.1	14.3	0.87
William Avery	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-8	9	6.7	14.4	-7.77	2.3	14.8	-12.49
Tom Hammonds	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-10	13	12.2	14.3	-2.16	12.8	14.6	-1.72
Anthony Peeler	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-5	3	13.9	14.5	-0.61	15.1	13.8	1.22
Wally Szczerbiak	73	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	0	-7	14.8	12.5	2.35	15.1	12.5	2.69
Malik Sealy	74	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	1	-9	14.1	14.5	-0.46	13.8	16.1	-2.31
Joe Smith	55	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	6	-19	14.9	13.4	1.45	15.1	13.7	1.44
Kevin Garnett	86	88	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.33	-9	2	-11	14.3	13.4	0.98	14.0	17.3	-3.27
Terrell Brandon	78	80	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.35	-15	8	-23	14.7	12.5	2.12	14.0	16.2	-2.25

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	57	56	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.30	13	-6	19	13.9	15.2	-1.33	14.3	14.0	0.32
Anfernee Hardaway	84	84	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.30	12	-5	17	14.0	16.9	-2.92	14.4	13.3	1.06
Jason Kidd	85	82	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-4	15	13.9	17.6	-3.69	14.2	14.2	0.04
Clifford Robinson	84	83	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-4	15	14.0	16.6	-2.64	14.5	12.9	1.52
Shawn Marion	90	89	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	1	5	14.3	16.0	-1.73	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Corie Blount	17	17	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	4	-1	17.0	13.9	3.06	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Don MacLean	14	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	9	-11	17.4	14.0	3.45	13.7	14.3	-0.55
Randy Livingston	25	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.03	-9	16	-25	17.0	13.6	3.38	13.5	14.4	-0.91
Luc Longley	49	49	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.06	-10	17	-27	15.1	13.9	1.18	14.1	14.3	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.85,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.1%
IND 93, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.37,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.96,1	93.1%
WAS 76, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.98,1,1	92.3%