NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	7.0 [386]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +14.6%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	2.1 [827]		LVP	Brian Grant (POR): -26.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Grant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.02	16	63%	0.10	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
John Crotty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	44%	0.00	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	11	62%	0.08	5	-0.19	7	86%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	13	23%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	11	31%	-0.19	2	-0.07	4	0%	-0.13

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.05	0.06	16	76%	0.17	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	8	74%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	18	60%	0.21	2	-0.09	12	92%	0.05
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	66.0	1.8	24.1	15.6	29.1	1.6	35.0	173.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +19.6%

UTA +23.9%

POR -10.2%

UTA +13.4%

UTA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	15.6	101.1	111.4	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		101.9	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		102.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.6	16.7	16.4	15.9	16.1
UTA	15.0	16.8	16.3	18.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Crotty	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-9	9	4.0	16.3	-12.28	19.0	16.6	2.44
Arvydas Sabonis	24	24	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-9	9	16.5	16.0	0.50	14.9	17.2	-2.36
Jermaine O'Neal	20	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-11	13	13.0	17.0	-3.99	15.1	17.0	-1.86
Stacey Augmon	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-6	3	17.2	14.9	2.31	18.1	15.0	3.02
Gary Grant	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-6	3	15.7	16.6	-0.90	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Kelvin Cato	46	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-1	-7	16.6	15.6	0.94	17.7	15.5	2.20
Rasheed Wallace	66	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-1	-7	17.0	13.6	3.39	16.7	16.1	0.64
Walt Williams	54	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-6	3	14.9	18.1	-3.28	16.4	16.8	-0.41
Brian Grant	76	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-2	-5	16.1	16.1	0.06	16.6	16.7	-0.09
Damon Stoudamire	65	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.23	-15	6	-21	16.5	15.0	1.48	16.0	18.3	-2.38

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	64	66	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.26	17	-8	25	16.2	17.7	-1.59	16.6	14.9	1.70
Karl Malone	73	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-4	17	16.5	17.0	-0.49	16.7	13.5	3.22
John Stockton	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	16.6	16.6	-0.01	17.1	14.7	2.35
Greg Ostertag	44	43	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	5	-1	16.9	16.3	0.55	14.8	17.4	-2.54
Bryon Russell	44	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	5	-1	16.9	16.3	0.59	16.3	16.0	0.29
Greg Foster	48	51	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	6	-3	16.4	16.8	-0.38	16.9	15.1	1.87
Howard Eisley	37	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	7	-5	16.6	16.6	0.01	14.7	17.1	-2.35
Adam Keefe	42	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	6	-3	16.1	17.0	-0.95	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Chris Morris	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	9	-9	17.4	16.5	0.93	15.2	16.3	-1.15
Shandon Anderson	24	22	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	17	-25	17.7	16.2	1.59	14.9	16.6	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.85,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.99,0.96,1	93.1%
MIN 100, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.1%
GSW 90, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	92.9%