NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	2.9 [1159]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +7.5%
New Jersey Nets	115		Comeback	1.1 [419]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -12.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	5	94%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	12	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.03
Steven Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	52%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	10	19%	-0.07	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.06	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.05	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	12	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	15	87%	0.01
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	11	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	12	52%	0.02	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	29.0	14.8	25.9	2.0	32.2	131.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +40.0%

POR -0.4%

NJN +0.9%

NJN +7.5%

NJN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NJN	NBA	POR	NJN	NBA
this game	13.7	16.9	15.2	110.8	121.1	101.7
season	15.9	15.5		105.9	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.7		103.3	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.9	14.3	15.9	11.0	13.7
NJN	14.9	16.3	16.8	19.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	50	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.33	7	-19	26	12.1	15.6	-3.53	17.1	16.7	0.42
Greg Anthony	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-8	4	14.5	13.4	1.15	19.1	15.9	3.22
Bonzi Wells	42	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-15	18	12.4	14.8	-2.46	18.6	15.5	3.04
Detlef Schrempf	42	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-10	8	12.5	14.7	-2.25	18.5	15.5	2.99
Jermaine O'Neal	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-13	14	11.8	14.8	-2.92	18.4	16.0	2.35
Arvydas Sabonis	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-2	-8	15.4	12.1	3.30	15.4	18.3	-2.90
Damon Stoudamire	65	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	13.4	14.5	-1.15	15.9	19.1	-3.22
Scottie Pippen	48	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	3	-18	15.4	12.0	3.44	16.5	17.4	-0.91
Rasheed Wallace	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.16	-17	5	-22	14.8	12.0	2.82	16.0	18.3	-2.26
Steven Smith	46	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.19	-19	7	-26	15.0	12.5	2.51	15.7	18.2	-2.52

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	74	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	-4	20	16.5	18.2	-1.69	13.9	13.0	0.90
Kerry Kittles	51	48	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.21	19	-7	26	15.7	18.2	-2.56	15.4	12.0	3.35
Scott Burrell	33	31	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	4	4	15.4	17.7	-2.27	13.1	14.1	-1.00
Jim McIlvaine	45	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.14	15	-3	18	15.6	18.0	-2.34	15.3	12.3	3.01
Kendall Gill	65	63	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	5	2	16.1	18.5	-2.38	13.7	13.8	-0.15
Johnny Newman	30	30	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	7	-2	18.5	16.1	2.38	13.8	13.7	0.15
Jamie Feick	50	50	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	15	-18	18.0	15.6	2.34	12.3	15.3	-3.01
Keith Van Horn	54	54	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	3	6	17.8	15.7	2.05	14.9	12.1	2.85
Lucious Harris	44	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.36	-7	19	-26	18.2	15.7	2.56	12.0	15.4	-3.35
Elliot Perry	21	22	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	16	-20	18.2	16.5	1.69	13.0	13.9	-0.90
Gheorghe Muresan	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	17.0	16.9	0.14	8.2	14.2	-6.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 87, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CHI 64, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
SAC 92, CHI 132	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%