NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	5.5 [702]		MVP	Eric Williams (BOS): +7.1%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	1.8 [695]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): -14.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.03	9	64%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	17	56%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	14	59%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	67%	0.06	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	8	19%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	5	-0.12	2	0%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	14	60%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	16	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	15	44%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	-0.05	22	39%	-0.05	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	5	43%	-0.01	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	29.1	15.6	26.3	2.3	42.7	143.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +2.3%

BOS +10.1%

BOS +5.4%

BOS +31.7%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.6	15.1	15.2	91.9	95.1	101.7
season	13.6	14.7		100.4	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.3	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	13.5	15.2	11.1	13.6
BOS	14.1	17.8	13.1	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	29	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-12	18	11.9	14.2	-2.31	15.5	14.9	0.64
Anthony Johnson	15	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.08	1	-7	8	10.4	14.1	-3.73	12.2	15.5	-3.31
Ron Mercer	20	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-3	0	14.9	13.2	1.73	16.1	14.8	1.30
Chucky Atkins	44	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-9	12	12.2	14.7	-2.45	16.1	14.2	1.85
Monty Williams	34	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	0	-6	13.1	13.8	-0.73	16.3	14.4	1.90
Pat Garrity	45	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-9	12	14.0	13.2	0.71	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Bo Outlaw	66	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-6	6	14.1	12.5	1.58	15.2	14.9	0.32
Corey Maggette	49	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	0	-6	13.1	14.0	-0.96	16.0	14.2	1.80
John Amaechi	49	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	6	-18	13.8	13.4	0.38	15.1	15.0	0.06
Ben Wallace	62	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	5	-16	14.6	11.9	2.67	14.5	15.9	-1.42
Darrell Armstrong	82	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	14.1	11.0	3.10	14.1	19.8	-5.64

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	87	85	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-9	24	15.9	10.3	5.63	13.7	13.0	0.66
Kenny Anderson	91	88	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-1	8	15.2	13.6	1.61	13.1	17.0	-3.86
Antoine Walker	89	87	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	3	0	14.9	16.1	-1.16	13.6	13.7	-0.11
Adrian Griffin	72	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	3	0	14.8	15.8	-1.04	13.6	13.5	0.14
Tony Battie	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	2	2	15.2	15.0	0.20	13.4	13.7	-0.34
Vitaly Potapenko	35	32	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	6	-6	15.5	14.8	0.68	14.4	13.2	1.24
Danny Fortson	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	2	2	15.7	14.9	0.81	13.8	13.5	0.31
Eric Williams	38	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	8	-10	13.9	15.8	-1.91	13.0	13.9	-0.88
Walter McCarty	13	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	3	0	16.1	14.9	1.16	13.7	13.6	0.11
Doug Overton	14	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	9	-12	11.5	15.6	-4.14	14.6	13.4	1.17
Calbert Cheaney	7	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	10	-14	14.4	15.1	-0.69	14.9	13.5	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DEN 95, DAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.83,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
PHX 88, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%