NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	94		Excitement	5.0 [806]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +7.0%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	1.0 [654]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -23.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	24	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Horace Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	7	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.05	0.04	19	43%	-0.13	5	-0.11	6	33%	-0.07

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	14	64%	0.14	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	21	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	30.1	16.4	25.4	2.0	25.0	122.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +38.5%

ORL +9.4%

SEA -0.5%

ORL +0.8%

ORL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ORL	NBA	SEA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.6	15.2	102.2	110.8	101.7
season	14.9	13.6		103.5	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.4		99.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	21.1	15.2	15.7	14.8	16.5
ORL	12.6	13.0	16.4	16.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chuck Person	11	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-8	7	16.2	16.6	-0.41	14.7	14.6	0.17
Rashard Lewis	46	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.27	6	-15	21	14.8	18.3	-3.43	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Jelani McCoy	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-6	3	15.5	16.7	-1.13	11.0	15.1	-4.09
Emanual Davis	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-9	9	14.7	17.7	-3.04	15.1	14.3	0.83
Brent Barry	83	86	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-15	21	16.2	20.1	-3.95	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Ruben Patterson	44	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	1	-11	17.6	15.6	2.05	15.2	14.1	1.10
Horace Grant	77	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	3	-15	16.7	15.5	1.21	14.4	15.4	-0.99
Gary Payton	84	85	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	4	-17	16.9	13.0	3.88	14.8	12.2	2.57
Vin Baker	68	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.05	-18	9	-27	18.0	12.3	5.75	14.6	14.7	-0.20

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Amaechi	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	14.3	15.2	-0.95	17.2	15.4	1.75
Darrell Armstrong	70	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	4	1	15.1	13.2	1.90	16.4	17.1	-0.72
Ron Mercer	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	0	9	15.3	13.2	2.12	17.1	15.4	1.70
Pat Garrity	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	4	1	14.3	15.0	-0.69	15.2	18.6	-3.44
Ben Wallace	43	42	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	5	-1	15.7	13.7	1.99	18.0	15.3	2.77
Corey Maggette	21	22	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	3	3	12.0	15.3	-3.30	16.5	16.5	0.00
Monty Williams	46	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	5	-1	13.2	15.9	-2.70	16.0	17.0	-1.04
Chucky Atkins	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	6	-3	14.5	14.7	-0.12	15.2	17.6	-2.34
Bo Outlaw	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	9	-9	15.7	13.8	1.92	18.1	15.5	2.53
Michael Doleac	27	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	10	-11	14.2	14.8	-0.54	15.6	16.9	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 89, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
WAS 68, TOR 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.7%
LAL 111, TOR 123	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%