NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	68		Excitement	4.5 [917]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +1.3%
Toronto Raptors	74		Comeback	1.1 [823]		LVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): -12.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	17	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	14	27%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	12	41%	-0.05	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Larry Hughes	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	14	40%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	15	54%	0.08	6	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	14	51%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	10	37%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	10	32%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	30.7	17.0	27.2	2.7	38.1	141.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +36.6%

TOR +1.5%

TOR +15.3%

WAS -8.7%

TOR +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	16.7	14.4	15.5	74.7	78.7	101.6
season	16.5	16.2		100.9	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.0	17.2	19.6	14.6	16.7
TOR	14.0	13.5	15.6	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	8	8	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-12	18	17.7	16.6	1.11	15.2	14.4	0.89
Etan Thomas	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-2	-2	22.0	15.9	6.06	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Bryon Russell	35	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-1	-4	16.2	17.1	-0.87	16.4	13.2	3.12
Jared Jeffries	32	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-7	8	15.5	17.4	-1.91	13.5	14.9	-1.42
Christian Laettner	38	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	15.8	17.4	-1.58	15.7	13.6	2.10
Michael Jordan	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-10	14	17.5	15.9	1.56	13.3	15.6	-2.28
Kwame Brown	76	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-6	6	15.8	21.5	-5.66	15.1	11.4	3.76
Tyronn Lue	36	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	2	-10	18.2	15.8	2.37	12.1	15.9	-3.79
Charles Oakley	16	18	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	6	-18	21.4	15.7	5.63	10.5	15.4	-4.87
Jerry Stackhouse	81	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-9	12	16.2	21.2	-5.01	14.9	11.1	3.79
Larry Hughes	74	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	4	-14	16.4	18.1	-1.70	14.8	12.3	2.58

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	78	77	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-3	12	14.9	12.3	2.56	16.5	18.2	-1.75
Morris Peterson	78	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.20	9	-3	12	14.1	15.9	-1.73	16.9	15.9	0.96
Jelani McCoy	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	-4	14	14.2	15.0	-0.75	18.3	12.8	5.45
Voshon Lenard	37	34	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	-3	12	12.6	15.6	-3.04	19.3	15.2	4.04
Lindsey Hunter	34	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	-2	10	11.2	16.3	-5.06	19.1	15.4	3.71
Alvin Williams	60	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	8	-10	16.3	11.2	5.06	15.4	19.1	-3.71
Vince Carter	75	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	12	-18	15.3	11.1	4.17	15.3	22.6	-7.32
Jerome Williams	26	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	4	-2	13.7	14.7	-1.08	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Michael Bradley	16	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	15	-24	16.2	14.1	2.19	12.3	17.7	-5.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, LAL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SEA 94, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAL 111, TOR 123	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%