NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	106		Excitement	2.8 [1178]		MVP	George McCloud (DEN): +10.6%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	1.1 [411]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -14.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	7	100%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	10	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	22	48%	0.03	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	0.00	0.11	12	89%	0.08	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	80%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	42%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devin Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	61%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	30%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	13	32%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.22	-0.00	-0.07	6	0%	-0.06	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	27.2	15.8	29.1	1.8	24.3	125.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +24.3%

DEN +5.0%

DEN +5.3%

DEN +15.0%

DEN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	HOU	NBA	DEN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	15.2	15.2	109.3	101.0	101.7
season	14.8	15.4		101.5	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.0		103.5	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	10.0	15.5	14.2	20.0	14.7
HOU	17.0	15.2	14.0	14.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	85	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	-14	37	14.2	18.2	-4.00	16.0	9.7	6.21
George McCloud	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	-11	31	15.5	13.0	2.51	15.3	15.0	0.34
Keon Clark	63	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	-5	19	14.7	14.6	0.16	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Antonio McDyess	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-4	17	13.6	15.7	-2.10	16.6	13.6	2.99
Chris Gatling	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.24	19	-10	29	15.2	14.2	0.95	15.8	14.7	1.13
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	55	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-1	11	12.9	17.0	-4.13	15.4	14.9	0.47
Bryant Stith	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.22	-1	10	-11	17.0	12.9	4.13	14.9	15.4	-0.47
James Posey	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.55	-16	25	-41	13.7	15.3	-1.58	14.2	15.9	-1.74
Roy Rogers	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	18	-27	18.0	14.4	3.60	10.6	15.6	-4.98
Cory Alexander	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	18	-27	18.0	14.4	3.60	10.6	15.6	-4.98
Popeye Jones	12	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	22	-35	18.2	14.2	4.00	9.3	16.0	-6.68
Raef LaFrentz	19	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	15	-21	12.5	15.2	-2.65	15.8	15.0	0.75

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Miller	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-23	37	9.7	16.0	-6.21	18.2	14.2	4.00
Moochie Norris	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-23	37	9.7	16.0	-6.21	18.2	14.2	4.00
Matt Bullard	24	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-4	-1	16.0	14.9	1.03	18.0	13.6	4.44
Walt Williams	53	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	16.4	13.7	2.74	14.2	15.2	-0.96
Hakeem Olajuwon	45	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	16.1	14.4	1.65	13.7	15.6	-1.97
Shandon Anderson	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-4	-1	15.3	15.0	0.31	14.1	16.1	-2.03
Steve Francis	49	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	1	-11	15.3	15.1	0.24	14.0	15.5	-1.51
Bryce Drew	47	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.28	1	-10	11	15.1	15.3	-0.24	15.5	14.0	1.51
Devin Gray	12	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	7	-23	17.2	14.9	2.36	13.5	14.8	-1.29
Carlos Rogers	51	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-6	3	14.4	16.1	-1.65	15.6	13.7	1.97
Cuttino Mobley	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-3	-3	14.5	15.8	-1.28	15.4	13.9	1.49
Kenny Thomas	60	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.16	-18	9	-27	16.0	13.9	2.08	12.7	18.1	-5.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 107, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DET 92, NOK 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
SAC 114, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%