NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	72		Excitement	9.7 [71]		MVP	Chris Carr (CHI): +30.7%
Chicago Bulls	74		Comeback	4.8 [346]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -38.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.00	4	50%	0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	14	61%	0.20	5	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00
Charles R. Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Eric Piatkowski	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.04	0.03	12	46%	-0.04	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	7	31%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.18	0.02	-0.19	0.02	22	48%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.09
Tyrone Nesby	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	12	29%	-0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.1,0.31	0.31	-0.01	0.31	-0.00	14	50%	0.31	0	0.00	10	90%	0.09
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	8	64%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	3	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	8	48%	-0.04	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	6	14%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	4	38%	-0.14	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.15
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	8	22%	-0.18	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.28,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.3,-0.37,-0.24,-0.38	-0.38	-0.22	-0.16	0.00	23	27%	-0.29	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	0.0	16.5	28.2	2.4	48.5	124.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -17.9%

CHI +16.2%

CHI +16.1%

CHI +29.9%

CHI +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	16.9	15.2	83.7	86.0	101.7
season	15.6	16.5		95.5	91.8
opponent	14.9	14.3		102.3	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.6	18.4	14.4	16.3	16.6
CHI	15.8	17.8	17.7	16.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	46	48	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-6	10	17.6	15.4	2.19	17.2	16.6	0.66
Anthony Avent	18	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	1	-4	16.4	16.6	-0.16	17.2	16.9	0.32
Keith Closs	10	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-1	0	12.0	17.2	-5.17	14.7	17.2	-2.52
Eric Piatkowski	28	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-2	2	16.2	16.8	-0.58	15.7	17.4	-1.75
Charles R. Jones	4	3	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-1	0	4.5	17.2	-12.66	1.7	17.5	-15.80
Michael Olowokandi	47	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.44	6	-8	14	16.0	17.2	-1.16	18.5	14.9	3.60
Tyrone Nesby	63	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	0	-2	17.0	15.5	1.43	17.4	15.5	1.85
Troy Hudson	85	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-2	2	16.7	7.0	9.68	17.1	2.0	15.09
Lamar Odom	81	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.43	-2	0	-2	16.4	19.2	-2.79	16.9	16.5	0.44
Brian Skinner	48	47	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	9	-20	17.9	14.9	3.05	16.0	18.0	-2.03

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Perdue	40	40	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.53	8	-6	14	17.2	16.7	0.48	18.1	15.3	2.81
Matt Maloney	55	57	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.24	12	-10	22	17.0	16.8	0.18	16.6	16.4	0.24
Chris Carr	48	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	-2	6	16.1	17.9	-1.84	16.8	16.2	0.62
Michael Ruffin	23	23	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	-4	10	12.4	18.6	-6.12	17.0	16.4	0.53
Elton Brand	63	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	5	-8	18.6	12.4	6.12	16.4	17.0	-0.53
John Starks	27	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-4	10	16.8	17.0	-0.21	15.4	17.1	-1.69
Hersey Hawkins	52	51	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.64	-15	17	-32	17.9	15.4	2.54	16.7	16.4	0.33
Randy Brown	21	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-1	4	16.3	17.1	-0.84	17.4	16.3	1.15
Metta World Peace	56	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	8	-14	16.6	17.4	-0.79	15.8	17.9	-2.08
Dickey Simpkins	45	44	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	7	-12	17.0	16.8	0.26	15.9	17.3	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 113, NYK 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	91.9%
LAC 90, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.21,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.42,1	91.6%
SAS 95, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	91.1%