NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	8.6 [155]		MVP	Dennis Scott (VAN): +15.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies	92		Comeback	10.3 [156]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -25.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	100%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	55%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Ike Austin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Whitney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	15	47%	0.02	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.05
Juwan Howard	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	19	35%	-0.20	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Mitch Richmond	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25	-0.09	-0.16	0.00	16	44%	-0.14	2	-0.11	9	89%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.16	0.16	-0.02	0.17	-0.01	5	50%	0.23	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.05
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	16	53%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.04
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	12	62%	0.01	3	-0.10	10	80%	0.02
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	12	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	26.7	15.7	25.2	1.7	37.2	133.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +46.7%

VAN +2.0%

WAS -11.8%

VAN +16.0%

WAS -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	VAN	NBA	WAS	VAN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.2	96.7	100.0	101.7
season	15.5	15.9		101.1	99.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		105.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.6	15.7	20.0	14.9	16.7
VAN	16.1	17.7	13.6	12.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	18	19	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.03	8	-13	21	16.1	16.8	-0.74	16.4	14.6	1.83
Chris Whitney	24	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-3	1	16.5	16.8	-0.22	13.3	15.5	-2.28
Tracy Murray	57	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-9	13	15.2	19.2	-4.01	14.6	15.6	-1.01
Jahidi White	35	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	0	-5	19.3	15.1	4.23	15.3	14.7	0.55
Ike Austin	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	3	-11	17.3	16.6	0.73	14.2	15.1	-0.87
Aaron Williams	43	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-8	11	15.2	18.1	-2.94	15.4	14.5	0.93
Juwan Howard	71	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.46	2	-7	9	16.6	17.2	-0.58	15.2	14.2	0.95
Rod Strickland	66	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	16.8	16.5	0.22	15.5	13.3	2.28
Mitch Richmond	72	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.33	-13	8	-21	16.8	16.1	0.74	14.6	16.4	-1.83

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Scott	25	26	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.54	6	-1	7	14.6	15.1	-0.50	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Mike Bibby	80	80	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-9	23	14.6	17.6	-3.01	17.0	14.0	3.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	82	81	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-6	17	14.7	17.5	-2.84	16.6	17.7	-1.07
Grant Long	50	51	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.50	2	3	-1	13.7	16.5	-2.86	14.7	19.3	-4.65
Michael Dickerson	74	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	-3	11	14.7	16.2	-1.49	16.7	16.8	-0.18
Bryant Reeves	28	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	4	-3	16.5	14.3	2.15	19.4	15.6	3.81
Doug West	34	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	9	-13	14.6	15.2	-0.60	16.2	17.0	-0.84
Cherokee Parks	27	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	5	-5	15.5	14.7	0.78	17.6	16.4	1.25
Milt Palacio	12	10	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	14	-23	17.6	14.6	3.01	14.0	17.0	-3.04
Othella Harrington	48	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	9	-13	16.6	13.2	3.38	18.2	15.3	2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.45,0.46,0.14,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 108, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.31,0.58,1	91.0%
WAS 86, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.35,0.28,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.92,1	90.3%
OKC 112, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.58,1	89.9%