NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	7.3 [337]		MVP	Kendall Gill (MIN): +27.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	11.7 [129]		LVP	Kwame Brown (WAS): -27.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	17	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.07
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	7	37%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	5	44%	-0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Michael Jordan	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.25,-0.27	-0.06	-0.20	0.00	14	36%	-0.22	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28	-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	10	29%	-0.11	2	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.13,0.23,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.21	-0.00	17	61%	0.32	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Igor Rakocevic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.06	-0.02	13	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	9	11%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	16	49%	0.03	6	-0.19	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	31.3	16.4	24.2	2.5	27.6	127.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +96.2%

WAS -23.0%

WAS -9.8%

WAS -7.9%

WAS -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.2	15.5	90.5	95.7	101.6
season	16.5	14.9		100.9	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.3	13.9	17.3	16.7	16.3
MIN	12.7	16.1	13.9	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	6	6	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-5	6	13.7	16.5	-2.81	24.3	13.5	10.86
Tyronn Lue	49	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-3	2	15.2	17.5	-2.29	14.6	13.7	0.83
Brendan Haywood	35	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	0	-4	17.9	15.3	2.56	12.7	15.0	-2.32
Bryon Russell	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-2	0	17.1	15.4	1.70	15.0	13.3	1.69
Etan Thomas	29	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-5	6	16.2	16.3	-0.18	14.9	13.9	0.98
Christian Laettner	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-7	10	14.7	18.3	-3.53	15.8	11.9	3.91
Michael Jordan	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.43	2	-6	8	15.0	18.2	-3.15	14.3	14.0	0.33
Kwame Brown	64	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	8	-20	17.5	13.8	3.74	12.7	17.0	-4.24
Larry Hughes	49	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	1	-6	17.2	15.3	1.84	13.2	15.2	-1.97
Jerry Stackhouse	84	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	16.4	15.4	1.05	13.5	18.4	-4.87

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	44	43	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-6	16	13.6	14.7	-1.05	15.9	16.7	-0.79
Kevin Garnett	84	84	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-7	18	13.5	19.6	-6.08	16.6	13.7	2.90
Kendall Gill	65	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	0	4	14.9	12.4	2.49	16.7	15.5	1.17
Rasho Nesterovic	63	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	-1	6	14.1	14.3	-0.23	16.8	15.2	1.68
Troy Hudson	71	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	1	2	13.5	16.1	-2.54	16.1	16.9	-0.76
Rod Strickland	26	25	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	4	-4	15.6	13.6	1.94	16.0	16.4	-0.45
Loren Woods	46	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	2	0	12.9	15.4	-2.55	16.9	15.7	1.20
Igor Rakocevic	3	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	8	-12	1.7	14.6	-12.92	4.5	16.5	-12.05
Reggie Slater	24	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	6	-8	15.8	13.6	2.18	16.2	16.3	-0.14
Anthony Peeler	36	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	7	-10	15.3	13.4	1.89	15.6	16.8	-1.24
Marc Jackson	8	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	10	-16	21.4	13.5	7.87	14.0	16.5	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.35,0.28,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.91,1	91.4%
UTA 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	90.4%
BOS 106, TOR 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.46,0.68,0.98,1	90.3%