NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	80		Excitement	2.3 [1215]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +9.8%
Sacramento Kings	119		Comeback	1.0 [1183]		LVP	Dickey Simpkins (CHI): -7.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	13	76%	0.09	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Benjamin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	83%	0.00	3	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	3	40%	0.00	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Chris Carr	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	4	10%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	10	30%	-0.04	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.01	-0.10	11	48%	0.10	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.05	13	73%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.02	15	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	10	80%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	27.5	15.5	20.5	2.3	26.3	115.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +24.3%

SAC +3.3%

SAC +7.8%

SAC +10.8%

SAC +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAC	NBA	CHI	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.0	15.2	84.2	125.3	101.7
season	16.5	13.8		91.8	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.9		100.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.1	15.4	18.2	14.8	16.3
SAC	11.7	17.4	13.7	13.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Benjamin	18	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-35	31	14.7	16.7	-2.01	13.4	14.1	-0.72
Chris Anstey	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.25	-9	-30	21	14.3	17.1	-2.76	13.0	14.3	-1.33
Michael Ruffin	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.31	-12	-27	15	14.9	17.2	-2.30	13.6	14.2	-0.58
Hersey Hawkins	38	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.20	-11	-28	17	16.2	16.5	-0.27	14.9	13.3	1.58
Will Perdue	27	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.20	-11	-28	17	17.9	15.7	2.15	13.9	14.0	-0.12
Chris Carr	34	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.38	-18	-21	3	16.1	16.5	-0.36	14.4	13.7	0.64
Matt Maloney	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.41	-22	-17	-5	15.7	16.9	-1.19	14.3	13.7	0.65
Randy Brown	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	-22	5	16.9	15.7	1.19	13.7	14.3	-0.65
Toni Kukoc	54	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-21	3	16.7	15.9	0.78	13.8	14.2	-0.44
Dickey Simpkins	42	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-20	1	16.6	16.2	0.44	14.6	13.4	1.16
Metta World Peace	46	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.41	-27	-12	-15	16.9	15.8	1.05	13.3	14.6	-1.25
Elton Brand	59	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.33	-27	-12	-15	17.2	14.9	2.30	14.2	13.6	0.58

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.50	30	9	21	13.3	15.6	-2.27	16.0	17.1	-1.03
Chris Webber	65	67	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.50	30	9	21	13.8	14.4	-0.68	17.1	14.5	2.67
Jason Williams	63	63	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.51	30	9	21	13.7	14.5	-0.85	17.0	15.1	1.94
Vlade Divac	56	56	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.29	19	20	-1	13.8	14.3	-0.49	16.8	15.7	1.07
Nick Anderson	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	28	-17	13.7	14.2	-0.53	16.7	16.0	0.77
Jon Barry	29	29	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.40	22	17	5	14.8	13.6	1.14	16.7	16.2	0.54
Scot Pollard	34	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.24	16	23	-7	14.6	13.6	0.97	16.1	16.5	-0.46
Darrick Martin	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.13	9	30	-21	14.5	13.7	0.85	15.1	17.0	-1.94
Lawrence Funderburke	30	28	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.14	9	30	-21	14.4	13.8	0.68	14.5	17.1	-2.67
Tyrone Corbin	32	32	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.26	13	26	-13	15.0	13.4	1.60	16.5	16.3	0.28
Tony Delk	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	33	-27	13.4	14.1	-0.72	14.7	16.7	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 77, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
UTA 64, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ORL 77, CHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%