NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	6.1 [580]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +17.9%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	2.0 [371]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -15.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.09	0.02	11	82%	0.21	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	64%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	12	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	12	42%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.05	0.04	9	55%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	6	17%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	18	52%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.02	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	12	50%	-0.09
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.09	1	-0.03	11	73%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	33.4	15.6	27.0	2.5	27.7	131.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +16.3%

NYK +4.5%

NYK +4.3%

NYK +16.5%

NYK +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	17.3	15.2	102.3	111.4	101.7
season	15.9	16.1		105.9	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.7		98.8	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	15.3	15.9	16.1	15.8
NYK	18.4	16.0	15.4	19.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	25	25	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.07	7	-17	24	15.7	15.9	-0.19	16.9	17.4	-0.55
Arvydas Sabonis	27	28	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-12	14	15.1	16.1	-0.97	19.5	16.2	3.27
Detlef Schrempf	31	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-13	16	16.4	15.5	0.95	16.0	18.0	-2.01
Bonzi Wells	38	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-9	8	15.2	16.3	-1.03	17.5	17.1	0.42
Jermaine O'Neal	18	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	15.1	16.0	-0.89	13.6	18.4	-4.75
Brian Grant	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-6	2	18.0	14.4	3.66	16.8	17.6	-0.78
Scottie Pippen	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	14.8	20.2	-5.37	17.1	17.9	-0.84
Rasheed Wallace	62	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	2	-14	16.0	15.5	0.49	18.1	15.0	3.02
Steven Smith	62	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	3	-16	16.4	14.2	2.17	17.6	16.4	1.13
Damon Stoudamire	63	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.14	-17	7	-24	15.6	16.4	-0.85	17.4	16.8	0.60

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	67	65	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.03	21	-11	32	17.3	17.0	0.30	15.9	15.5	0.38
Charlie Ward	63	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.09	13	-3	16	17.6	16.4	1.22	16.0	15.5	0.47
Allan Houston	74	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	0	10	17.3	17.3	-0.02	15.2	19.2	-4.03
Latrell Sprewell	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-1	12	16.8	18.3	-1.54	16.5	14.3	2.16
Larry Johnson	70	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	4	2	17.7	15.7	1.95	15.2	17.8	-2.60
Marcus Camby	57	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	10	-10	16.8	18.2	-1.47	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Rick Brunson	14	14	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	9	-8	18.5	17.0	1.46	16.6	15.7	0.90
John Wallace	14	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	11	-12	16.7	17.4	-0.66	18.3	15.4	2.94
Kurt Thomas	21	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.18	-11	21	-32	17.0	17.3	-0.30	15.5	15.9	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 78, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%
NYK 82, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.91,1	94.2%
MIA 83, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.0%