NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	5.6 [698]		MVP	Aaron Williams (WAS): +9.7%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	1.6 [354]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -15.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	70%	0.12	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
William Avery	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.08	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.08	0.02	17	65%	0.09	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	86%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	10	44%	-0.08	1	-0.02	14	79%	0.05
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	13	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	0.07	16	54%	-0.08	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	28.2	14.8	23.3	2.5	34.3	125.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -8.6%

WAS +24.0%

WAS +18.6%

WAS +13.8%

WAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	WAS	NBA	MIN	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	15.2	102.2	114.4	101.7
season	15.1	15.5		103.5	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.7		104.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	15.4	17.1	12.0	14.8
WAS	18.1	16.6	17.1	16.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
William Avery	19	19	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.01	10	-20	30	13.1	15.3	-2.25	19.3	16.4	2.87
Wally Szczerbiak	45	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-8	6	13.5	16.2	-2.71	17.1	16.9	0.22
Dean Garrett	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-6	2	16.3	14.7	1.60	14.5	17.2	-2.68
Kevin Garnett	77	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-10	10	14.7	15.6	-0.95	17.3	15.4	1.86
Sam Mitchell	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-6	2	16.6	13.4	3.24	17.3	16.7	0.63
Rasho Nesterovic	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	16.0	13.4	2.63	17.4	16.5	0.81
Malik Sealy	47	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-4	-2	15.1	14.6	0.52	16.4	17.7	-1.34
Anthony Peeler	53	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	1	-12	13.8	16.2	-2.36	16.9	17.2	-0.32
Joe Smith	46	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-3	-4	14.2	15.4	-1.21	16.8	17.2	-0.31
Bobby Jackson	72	71	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.20	-20	10	-30	15.3	13.1	2.25	16.4	19.3	-2.87

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	79	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	2	6	17.3	15.0	2.28	14.9	14.5	0.43
Tracy Murray	65	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	2	6	16.7	17.8	-1.16	15.0	14.3	0.68
Richard Hamilton	28	29	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	0	10	16.0	17.5	-1.50	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Rod Strickland	67	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	6	-2	17.4	15.7	1.75	15.2	13.8	1.38
Ike Austin	33	35	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	15.9	17.6	-1.77	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Aaron Williams	51	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	6	-2	16.7	17.4	-0.68	13.4	16.6	-3.14
Chris Whitney	23	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	4	2	15.7	17.4	-1.75	13.8	15.2	-1.38
Jahidi White	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	6	-2	18.2	15.9	2.28	16.6	13.4	3.19
Mitch Richmond	62	62	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	10	-10	17.5	16.0	1.50	15.0	14.4	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.68,0.84,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	94.5%
NJN 88, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.84,0.97,1,1	93.6%
LAL 115, CHI 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.94,1,1	93.3%