NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	83		Excitement	7.7 [289]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +16.0%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	2.4 [184]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -33.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.00	5	110%	0.25	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Rice	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	7%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	7	45%	-0.07	1	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	27	44%	-0.05	3	-0.12	8	37%	-0.05
Kobe Bryant	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	22	34%	-0.29	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.08	-0.03	8	71%	0.17	2	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	6	70%	0.16	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	45%	0.05	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.09	-0.04	13	57%	-0.03	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	2.5	30.2	17.8	30.0	2.8	37.5	151.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +59.9%

HOU +3.1%

LAL -13.7%

LAL -4.3%

HOU +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	15.2	87.4	93.7	101.7
season	15.3	15.4		105.6	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.1		103.5	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	14.6	16.0	17.8	15.6
HOU	11.6	16.0	15.3	16.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	27	29	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-11	16	17.1	15.0	2.13	16.0	14.1	1.93
A.C. Green	42	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.01	-1	-5	4	15.9	15.4	0.42	13.9	15.3	-1.33
John Salley	11	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-3	0	15.7	15.6	0.12	12.3	15.0	-2.74
Travis Knight	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	11.2	15.9	-4.75	13.3	14.8	-1.45
Brian Shaw	40	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	15.2	15.9	-0.77	14.7	14.7	0.02
Derek Fisher	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-4	2	15.5	15.7	-0.20	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Glen Rice	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	16.1	14.4	1.69	14.6	14.9	-0.24
Ron Harper	58	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	16.4	14.5	1.90	14.9	14.4	0.53
Shaquille O'Neal	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-5	4	15.9	14.1	1.83	15.1	12.6	2.49
Kobe Bryant	83	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	-1	-4	15.2	18.7	-3.58	14.7	14.4	0.36
Robert Horry	35	37	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	4	-14	13.7	16.8	-3.11	14.4	14.9	-0.43

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	58	61	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-2	10	14.3	15.3	-0.99	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Kelvin Cato	38	37	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	1	4	16.1	13.7	2.39	16.1	15.3	0.80
Walt Williams	67	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	1	4	14.7	14.7	-0.03	16.0	14.8	1.18
Matt Bullard	54	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	-1	8	14.4	15.1	-0.67	15.3	16.0	-0.65
Cuttino Mobley	59	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	4	-2	15.4	13.5	1.92	15.6	15.7	-0.18
Bryce Drew	43	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	4	-2	15.3	14.2	1.19	16.5	14.9	1.57
Shandon Anderson	62	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	3	0	14.0	16.0	-1.95	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Kenny Thomas	37	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	9	-12	14.9	14.5	0.41	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Anthony Miller	12	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	13.7	14.8	-1.08	16.5	15.5	0.97
Hakeem Olajuwon	45	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.12	3	3	0	13.7	15.6	-1.83	15.0	16.2	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.78,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	91.7%
NOP 91, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.59,0.55,0.8,0.84,0.99,1,1	91.5%
ATL 89, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	91.0%