NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	77		Excitement	3.9 [1007]		MVP	Charles Oakley (TOR): +11.2%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	1.2 [656]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -6.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jelani McCoy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	86%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	21	62%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	9	83%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.04	-0.06	18	44%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	55%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	15	43%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	-0.06	10	36%	-0.04	1	0.00	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	25.3	15.8	26.2	2.6	29.5	124.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +31.7%

SEA -4.0%

TOR +22.8%

SEA -3.5%

TOR +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	TOR	NBA	SEA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	17.0	15.2	86.5	105.6	101.7
season	14.9	15.5		103.5	101.8
opponent	14.9	15.4		102.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.1	15.8	16.2	12.2	15.3
TOR	17.1	16.2	15.1	19.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	6.3	15.6	-9.29	11.5	17.2	-5.67
Jelani McCoy	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-16	15	13.8	15.8	-1.99	17.8	16.8	1.03
Chuck Person	28	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-13	9	13.3	16.2	-2.96	18.1	16.5	1.59
Ruben Patterson	45	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-14	11	16.6	14.0	2.69	15.8	18.2	-2.43
Greg Foster	4	3	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-11	5	20.5	15.1	5.43	22.0	16.9	5.13
Horace Grant	59	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-16	15	15.9	14.1	1.83	16.2	18.7	-2.51
Emanual Davis	35	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-6	-5	14.8	15.6	-0.85	18.7	16.0	2.66
Rashard Lewis	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-9	1	14.3	15.8	-1.58	18.3	16.4	1.86
Brent Barry	72	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-4	-9	15.4	14.8	0.61	16.4	19.8	-3.37
Gary Payton	82	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-3	-11	15.4	14.1	1.27	17.1	16.8	0.23
Vin Baker	65	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.12	-24	7	-31	15.8	14.0	1.86	17.1	17.0	0.06

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	61	63	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.15	23	-6	29	16.7	17.9	-1.24	15.4	15.0	0.39
Vince Carter	45	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	3	11	16.1	18.0	-1.93	16.5	14.0	2.48
Kevin Willis	52	51	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	4	9	17.7	16.2	1.51	15.3	15.4	-0.09
Muggsy Bogues	53	52	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	4	9	17.6	16.2	1.47	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Charles Oakley	59	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	8	1	17.2	16.7	0.57	15.8	14.5	1.27
Tracy McGrady	63	61	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	12	-7	18.1	14.6	3.49	15.1	15.7	-0.53
Antonio Davis	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	9	-1	16.5	17.7	-1.14	15.3	15.4	-0.11
John Thomas	16	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	13	-9	16.6	17.2	-0.59	15.6	15.2	0.34
Alvin Williams	43	40	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	21	-25	16.6	17.4	-0.81	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Antonio Lang	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	11.5	17.2	-5.67	6.3	15.6	-9.29
Sean Marks	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	11.5	17.2	-5.67	6.3	15.6	-9.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
GSW 85, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
GSW 72, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%