NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	4.8 [833]		MVP	George Lynch (PHI): +4.8%
Charlotte Hornets	109		Comeback	2.3 [678]		LVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): -11.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.01	0.07	8	84%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Bruce Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Billy Owens	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	26	59%	0.10	6	-0.18	7	57%	-0.03
Aaron McKie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	8%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	9	30%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	6	29%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	5	81%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	14	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.03
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	10	60%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	64%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.04	12	62%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	18	47%	-0.03	2	-0.02	13	92%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	31.2	15.6	29.1	1.8	37.2	141.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +15.9%

CHH +24.2%

PHI -0.2%

CHH +9.2%

CHH +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	14.0	15.3	15.2	102.0	110.1	101.7
season	15.0	14.9		99.5	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.5		99.2	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	13.1	15.7	12.2	14.0
CHH	15.0	16.2	14.3	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	70	69	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.40	18	-27	45	13.4	15.4	-1.99	15.9	13.8	2.10
George Lynch	50	52	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.18	8	-17	25	13.9	14.0	-0.06	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Bruce Bowen	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-7	5	0.0	14.0	-13.97	14.0	15.3	-1.28
Theo Ratliff	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	14.6	13.3	1.30	15.9	14.6	1.30
Larry Hughes	29	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-6	3	13.2	14.3	-1.03	15.5	15.2	0.34
Matt Geiger	38	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	3	-15	14.1	13.9	0.22	14.0	16.1	-2.04
Allen Iverson	91	92	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	14.0	13.7	0.27	15.5	12.1	3.36
Tyrone Hill	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	2	-13	14.4	12.9	1.52	15.4	15.0	0.38
Billy Owens	40	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	7	-23	14.8	13.4	1.45	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Aaron McKie	50	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.04	-20	11	-31	13.1	14.8	-1.69	14.4	16.1	-1.74

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	38	39	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.07	23	-14	37	13.9	16.1	-2.22	14.3	13.7	0.60
Eddie Jones	90	90	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	0	9	15.4	14.1	1.27	13.7	17.2	-3.57
Derrick Coleman	71	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-1	11	15.0	16.0	-1.08	14.2	13.3	0.89
Anthony Mason	76	75	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	10	-11	15.0	16.1	-1.13	13.9	14.1	-0.15
David Wesley	66	66	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	5	-1	14.8	16.2	-1.33	14.2	13.6	0.60
Baron Davis	38	36	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	7	-5	15.8	14.9	0.94	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Elden Campbell	61	62	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	12	-15	16.3	13.6	2.73	14.5	13.1	1.44
Ricky Davis	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	10	-11	15.7	14.9	0.83	12.5	15.0	-2.49
Dale Ellis	13	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	7	-5	15.8	15.2	0.58	16.5	13.6	2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.96,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
HOU 78, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
UTA 87, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%