NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	96		Excitement	4.9 [810]		MVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): +6.8%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	1.1 [1086]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -18.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.03
Eddie Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.04	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	41%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	16	58%	0.02	4	-0.07	13	69%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	47%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	-0.05	8	25%	-0.02	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.02	-0.04	7	14%	-0.05	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	14	63%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	21	52%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	0	67%	-0.02	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	10	20%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	14	33%	-0.10	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.5	30.4	15.4	28.5	2.3	28.5	133.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +17.3%

CHH +15.2%

CHH +16.2%

CHI -3.5%

CHH +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.8	15.2	99.0	86.0	101.7
season	14.9	16.5		101.5	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.0	13.6	16.3	14.8	14.4
CHI	15.7	14.7	15.0	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	76	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-6	22	14.4	14.3	0.09	15.1	13.8	1.29
Derrick Coleman	83	86	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-3	16	14.4	14.4	-0.03	15.1	13.4	1.71
Anthony Mason	79	82	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-1	12	14.4	14.5	-0.12	14.6	15.7	-1.02
Elden Campbell	66	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	2	6	14.6	14.0	0.54	15.1	14.3	0.81
David Wesley	58	62	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	1	8	14.2	14.7	-0.49	15.1	14.3	0.79
Baron Davis	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	9	-8	14.4	14.4	-0.06	14.2	15.3	-1.12
Brad Miller	38	38	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	9	-8	14.6	14.3	0.25	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Eddie Robinson	25	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	13	-16	13.8	14.6	-0.81	14.7	14.9	-0.24
Ricky Davis	21	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	16	-22	14.3	14.4	-0.09	13.8	15.1	-1.29

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dickey Simpkins	49	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-11	12	15.7	14.0	1.69	15.4	13.4	2.03
Metta World Peace	74	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-14	18	14.6	15.5	-0.85	15.0	12.8	2.16
Will Perdue	8	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-3	-4	16.4	14.7	1.68	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Matt Maloney	67	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-13	16	15.2	14.0	1.19	14.7	13.9	0.76
Chris Anstey	22	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	12.5	15.5	-2.99	14.8	14.3	0.56
Toni Kukoc	72	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-13	16	15.5	13.1	2.34	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Corey Benjamin	12	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	1	-12	15.9	14.7	1.23	12.7	14.6	-1.89
Michael Ruffin	28	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	13.6	15.3	-1.70	12.9	15.1	-2.22
Elton Brand	79	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-5	0	15.5	12.2	3.34	14.6	13.9	0.70
Randy Brown	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	1	-12	14.3	15.2	-0.98	14.5	14.3	0.20
Chris Carr	47	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	3	-16	13.3	16.2	-2.85	13.1	15.6	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 119, MIN 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
NJN 99, CLE 96	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
POR 95, SAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%