NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	119		Excitement	4.2 [963]		MVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (LAC): +15.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.1 [1066]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -10.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	8	88%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	13	64%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	86%	0.14	4	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Marreese Speights	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	117%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	16	62%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	17	48%	-0.01	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	15	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.07	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	18	60%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	24	42%	-0.08	3	-0.02	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	28.6	14.7	33.2	1.8	41.0	143.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.5%

LAC +6.6%

LAC +11.4%

MIN -6.9%

LAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	14.8	124.0	108.2	107.7
season	15.0	15.3		110.8	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	16.9	13.5	13.0	14.2
MIN	18.0	16.6	14.1	14.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	75	76	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.13	27	-13	40	13.1	18.3	-5.17	15.8	14.8	0.99
DeAndre Jordan	70	70	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.09	23	-9	32	13.0	17.5	-4.46	16.0	14.4	1.58
Luc Mbah a Moute	70	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.06	22	-8	30	13.1	17.3	-4.19	15.8	15.1	0.70
Chris Paul	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-3	20	12.8	17.7	-4.88	15.7	15.3	0.42
JJ Redick	60	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-4	22	12.6	17.0	-4.36	15.9	15.1	0.71
Jamal Crawford	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	12	-10	16.3	12.9	3.33	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Austin Rivers	29	30	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	17	-20	17.7	12.8	4.88	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Marreese Speights	26	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.18	-9	23	-32	17.5	13.0	4.46	14.4	16.0	-1.58
Raymond Felton	24	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.25	-14	28	-42	18.5	12.8	5.61	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Brandon Bass	21	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.22	-13	27	-40	18.3	13.1	5.17	14.8	15.8	-0.99

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	38	38	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.15	9	-23	32	14.5	16.3	-1.83	14.4	14.1	0.33
Cole Aldrich	26	26	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.08	5	-19	24	15.3	15.7	-0.33	17.3	13.1	4.19
Shabazz Muhammad	28	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-14	14	16.5	15.2	1.28	16.5	13.3	3.23
Tyus Jones	20	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-15	16	14.1	16.0	-1.81	10.7	15.2	-4.42
Kris Dunn	37	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-11	8	15.1	15.9	-0.73	16.0	13.3	2.71
Zach LaVine	82	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-9	4	15.4	16.8	-1.43	14.1	15.1	-0.96
Ricky Rubio	48	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	0	-14	16.5	14.7	1.81	14.2	14.3	-0.12
Karl-Anthony Towns	70	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.03	-21	7	-28	15.8	15.0	0.76	13.0	17.2	-4.13
Gorgui Dieng	60	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.02	-21	7	-28	16.1	14.7	1.47	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Andrew Wiggins	76	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.01	-21	7	-28	15.5	15.9	-0.34	13.7	16.1	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
CHH 96, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
UTA 129, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%