NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	6.2 [570]		MVP	David Robinson (SAS): +18.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	2.0 [931]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -21.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	27	63%	0.28	4	-0.09	6	33%	-0.05
Mario Elie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	82%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Malik Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	14	59%	0.10	5	-0.13	11	45%	-0.08
Antonio Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	70%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	31%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	81%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	12	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	7	76%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Eric Murdock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	18	58%	0.09	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	11	63%	0.02	6	-0.14	5	40%	-0.04
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	7	0%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.07	-0.01	15	25%	-0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	26.7	16.5	27.3	2.4	34.5	133.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.8%

LAC -11.4%

SAS +1.2%

SAS +2.3%

SAS +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.7	15.2	101.0	95.9	101.7
season	15.5	15.6		101.6	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.4		107.1	95.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.6	14.7	13.6	14.7	14.9
LAC	12.2	16.0	15.8	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	78	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	14.9	14.6	0.29	15.3	12.3	3.03
David Robinson	81	82	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	3	0	15.1	13.9	1.20	14.8	13.9	0.94
Terry Porter	44	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	0	6	14.2	15.4	-1.18	14.6	14.7	-0.14
Avery Johnson	62	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	4	-2	15.5	13.8	1.65	15.1	13.8	1.35
Mario Elie	49	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.10	5	1	4	15.3	14.4	0.86	14.9	14.4	0.45
Jerome Kersey	48	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	7	-8	14.4	15.3	-0.86	14.2	15.1	-0.86
Antonio Daniels	36	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	2	2	13.8	15.5	-1.65	13.8	15.1	-1.35
Jaren Jackson	55	56	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	4	-2	15.4	14.2	1.19	14.9	14.3	0.55
Malik Rose	22	24	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	5	-4	13.9	15.2	-1.31	13.4	15.1	-1.71
Samaki Walker	15	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	9	-12	14.9	14.9	0.07	12.2	15.0	-2.89

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	66	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-6	6	14.5	15.1	-0.59	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Eric Murdock	7	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	0	-6	17.3	14.5	2.83	16.7	14.7	1.98
Maurice Taylor	81	82	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-11	16	14.5	15.2	-0.71	15.0	14.5	0.45
Eric Piatkowski	31	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-9	12	13.8	15.1	-1.30	14.7	15.0	-0.22
Keith Closs	51	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	3	-12	14.1	15.2	-1.10	15.3	14.4	0.90
Michael Olowokandi	46	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-3	0	15.3	14.1	1.18	14.7	15.0	-0.34
Derek Anderson	80	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-1	-4	14.6	15.0	-0.41	15.1	14.1	0.98
Tyrone Nesby	44	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	2	-10	14.7	14.6	0.12	13.9	15.9	-2.00
Lamar Odom	79	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	1	-8	15.1	12.9	2.17	15.1	14.1	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, NJN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0	94.2%
DEN 91, NOK 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.7%
NYK 101, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	93.7%