NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	5.4 [722]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +20.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	94		Comeback	1.8 [207]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (LAL): -14.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.04	-0.01	14	76%	0.23	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	6	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Alexey Shved	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	47%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.00
Lance Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	30%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Langston Galloway	-0.01	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.02	7	86%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	41%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	58%	0.08	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.06	14	61%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	44%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jabari Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	30.0	15.5	27.5	2.7	38.5	141.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +48.8%

NYK +4.5%

LAL -22.3%

NYK +19.6%

LAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.1	106.3	97.9	104.2
season	16.1	15.5		98.5	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.0		108.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	13.9	15.9	16.7	15.5
LAL	13.9	17.2	13.6	13.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-2	11	14.9	16.8	-1.91	15.0	13.9	1.09
Andrea Bargnani	62	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-2	11	15.6	15.3	0.33	15.5	12.8	2.67
Alexey Shved	64	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	0	7	15.5	15.6	-0.10	15.2	13.4	1.81
Cleanthony Early	46	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	2	3	15.7	15.3	0.39	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Jason Smith	49	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	9	-11	15.7	15.3	0.37	13.4	15.9	-2.47
Langston Galloway	51	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	4	-1	15.0	16.2	-1.20	14.8	14.4	0.45
Lou Amundson	37	40	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	5	-3	15.9	15.3	0.57	15.1	14.3	0.82
Cole Aldrich	41	39	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	2	3	15.0	15.9	-0.82	14.4	14.8	-0.44
Lance Thomas	33	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	8	-9	16.5	15.0	1.58	13.6	15.2	-1.64
Shane Larkin	29	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	9	-11	16.1	15.2	0.90	13.6	15.1	-1.52

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarik Black	51	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-11	15	14.5	14.8	-0.33	16.3	14.7	1.65
Jabari Brown	35	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-5	3	14.1	15.0	-0.88	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Jeremy Lin	45	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-6	5	14.1	15.1	-1.01	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Carlos Boozer	38	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	14.1	15.0	-0.85	15.4	15.6	-0.11
Wesley Johnson	66	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	14.4	15.3	-0.90	15.9	14.7	1.15
Wayne Ellington	57	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-7	7	14.8	14.5	0.27	16.2	14.6	1.64
Ryan Kelly	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	1	-9	15.1	14.4	0.62	14.5	16.0	-1.58
Jordan Hill	58	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-5	3	15.0	14.1	0.85	15.6	15.4	0.11
Ed Davis	44	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	4	-15	15.0	14.4	0.57	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Jordan Clarkson	55	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.21	-11	4	-15	15.3	13.7	1.60	15.7	15.2	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, ORL 78	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	94.9%
NJN 89, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MEM 103, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	94.5%