NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	5.8 [657]		MVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): +10.0%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	3.3 [250]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): -13.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.01	14	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Billy Owens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	28	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	10	60%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	13	43%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	23	64%	0.17	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.06	13	53%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	52%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	30.1	16.8	25.0	1.8	39.4	138.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +9.5%

PHI +15.6%

ATL -4.4%

PHI +27.1%

PHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.2	106.3	104.3	101.7
season	15.0	15.4		99.5	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	14.1	14.1	17.6	15.3
ATL	14.7	13.0	21.2	13.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	44	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	0	3	14.5	15.9	-1.42	15.9	14.7	1.25
Allen Iverson	80	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	3	-3	15.2	15.3	-0.08	14.9	16.9	-2.08
George Lynch	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	-3	9	15.2	15.4	-0.22	15.7	13.9	1.80
Eric Snow	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	2	-1	16.0	13.4	2.65	14.9	15.9	-0.92
Theo Ratliff	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	-3	9	14.6	16.1	-1.49	16.6	13.3	3.29
Tyrone Hill	79	78	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	7	-11	16.1	11.2	4.90	14.4	19.2	-4.79
Matt Geiger	57	58	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	1	1	15.3	15.3	0.00	14.7	16.0	-1.23
Larry Hughes	13	12	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	3	-3	13.2	15.6	-2.44	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Billy Owens	15	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	14.1	15.5	-1.42	14.3	15.4	-1.05

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	35	34	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-7	11	13.3	16.4	-3.12	14.5	15.7	-1.14
Cal Bowdler	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-3	3	6.0	15.3	-9.31	0.0	15.3	-15.26
Jason Terry	57	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.36	8	-11	19	14.5	16.3	-1.79	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Lorenzen Wright	24	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	3	-9	15.5	15.1	0.33	15.2	15.3	-0.14
Dikembe Mutombo	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-2	1	15.4	14.5	0.87	15.8	13.6	2.24
Jim Jackson	74	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-3	3	14.9	16.4	-1.51	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Alan Henderson	86	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	15.6	11.5	4.06	15.4	13.7	1.65
Anthony Johnson	41	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	4	-11	16.5	14.2	2.30	15.5	15.1	0.44
Isaiah Rider	80	81	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.38	-11	8	-19	15.7	12.5	3.19	15.3	15.3	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	94.2%
LAC 112, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	94.2%
MIN 120, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%