inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 95 Excitement1.8 [1252] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +18.1%
Los Angeles Lakers 130 Comeback1.2 [1217] LVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): -5.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.020.00-0.081259%0.083-0.025100%0.01
Keon Clark0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06542%0.002-0.00250%-0.00
Bryant Stith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Herren-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02642%-0.0010.0000%0.00
George McCloud-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02657%-0.0230.00250%-0.00
James Posey-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.02367%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03735%-0.031-0.01367%-0.00
Ron Mercer-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.000.000.042045%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.050,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.011361%-0.015-0.041275%-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.210.000.031879%0.191-0.012100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01667%0.0410.0000%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.05580%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.032458%0.023-0.01560%-0.01
Glen Rice0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.00-0.081842%0.0100.00978%-0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.04560%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.0630%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03580%0.002-0.0100%0.00
John Salley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01358%-0.0100.00683%-0.01
Ron Harper0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02837%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.170.00-0.14815%-0.0320.00425%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.62.531.817.724.42.323.7128.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +31.9%
DEN -2.2%
LAL +14.4%
LAL +6.0%
DEN -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game12.615.515.292.2127.5101.7
season14.815.3101.5105.6
opponent15.115.098.1103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.710.213.312.312.6
LAL13.017.115.017.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Herren40400.00-0.500.50-0.093-384111.913.0-1.1717.114.52.64
Bryant Stith16160.00-0.500.50-0.031-363712.112.7-0.5518.914.94.05
Ryan Bowen880.00-0.500.500.12-4-312715.112.42.7518.215.32.96
Cory Alexander880.00-0.500.500.12-4-312715.112.42.7518.215.32.96
Keon Clark5250-0.20-0.300.110.24-15-20512.013.2-1.2015.915.20.75
George McCloud5353-0.23-0.270.040.12-12-231111.813.4-1.5715.815.20.53
James Posey4241-0.27-0.23-0.040.29-19-16-313.112.30.8114.716.1-1.44
Ron Mercer7777-0.37-0.13-0.240.45-28-7-2112.612.7-0.1314.718.1-3.44
Antonio McDyess6362-0.40-0.10-0.310.56-33-2-3112.812.20.6014.816.7-1.94
Raef LaFrentz5656-0.41-0.09-0.310.33-25-10-1512.912.30.5814.816.4-1.59
Nick Van Exel6362-0.500.00-0.500.61-383-4113.011.91.1714.517.1-2.64

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal70710.500.000.49-0.6840-54514.318.1-3.8013.710.13.62
Kobe Bryant78800.480.020.46-0.6438-34114.618.5-3.9012.712.20.54
Glen Rice61630.400.100.29-0.513142714.517.1-2.6412.712.50.19
A.C. Green44450.380.120.25-0.623413313.716.9-3.2314.511.13.41
Ron Harper34350.290.210.08-0.4525101513.716.4-2.6814.711.53.13
Derek Fisher54530.210.29-0.08-0.141223-1116.314.71.5712.512.7-0.13
Rick Fox25240.120.38-0.26-0.06629-2316.415.21.2211.712.8-1.10
Robert Horry32310.110.39-0.290.05233-3115.915.30.6112.212.8-0.57
John Salley19190.040.46-0.41-0.04332-2916.915.21.6911.512.8-1.31
Brian Shaw38380.030.47-0.450.17-540-4517.914.13.8710.513.8-3.27
Devean George30310.000.50-0.490.09-338-4118.014.53.5610.113.7-3.52
Travis Knight2525-0.040.54-0.580.19-843-5119.214.34.8210.913.1-2.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 82, DAL 1190.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
UTA 86, MIN 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
NOH 68, MIA 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%