NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	5.2 [764]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +13.1%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	1.1 [785]		LVP	Sam Perkins (IND): -8.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	16	57%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	14	71%	0.13	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	75%	0.09	2	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.00	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	14	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	15	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	26	57%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Nick Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	16	74%	0.18	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	13	64%	0.09	5	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	11	57%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	60%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.5	29.5	19.3	24.4	2.4	35.5	134.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.0%

SAC +0.2%

SAC +1.4%

SAC +1.1%

SAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	13.4	15.2	114.1	114.9	101.7
season	15.4	13.8		106.5	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.1		100.7	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.1	15.2	16.0	14.3	15.4
SAC	12.2	12.0	14.0	15.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-7	11	10.0	15.6	-5.59	1.0	13.8	-12.78
Al Harrington	40	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.36	8	-11	19	14.8	15.8	-0.96	13.9	13.1	0.77
Rik Smits	24	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	4	-11	15.5	15.4	0.04	12.2	13.8	-1.65
Austin Croshere	61	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-7	11	15.8	14.9	0.90	15.1	10.9	4.16
Sam Perkins	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-8	13	14.7	16.2	-1.54	13.5	13.3	0.20
Travis Best	50	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-7	11	14.8	16.1	-1.30	13.7	13.0	0.71
Mark Jackson	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	4	-11	16.1	14.8	1.30	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Dale Davis	64	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	8	-19	15.7	14.9	0.83	12.8	14.5	-1.76
Reggie Miller	87	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-2	1	15.1	17.8	-2.74	13.4	13.0	0.45
Jalen Rose	65	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	11	-25	16.4	13.5	2.93	13.1	13.9	-0.84

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Anderson	86	84	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-9	21	13.1	15.1	-1.96	15.8	13.5	2.23
Corliss Williamson	80	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-13	29	13.6	12.5	1.16	16.1	13.2	2.82
Jason Williams	90	87	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-5	13	13.4	13.0	0.44	15.8	12.5	3.33
Vlade Divac	72	71	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-10	23	13.6	12.8	0.85	15.6	14.9	0.79
Chris Webber	88	87	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-3	9	13.4	13.6	-0.25	15.4	15.3	0.10
Lawrence Funderburke	13	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	13.6	13.4	0.25	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Scot Pollard	26	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.11	-6	9	-15	14.2	13.1	1.02	15.5	15.4	0.05
Darrick Martin	11	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	8	-13	13.0	13.4	-0.44	12.5	15.8	-3.33
Peja Stojakovic	21	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	16	-29	12.5	13.6	-1.16	13.1	16.1	-2.96
Jon Barry	18	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	16	-29	12.7	13.5	-0.82	12.9	16.0	-3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
PHX 103, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
LAC 85, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.96,1	95.0%