NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	4.3 [749]		MVP	Marreese Speights (MEM): +7.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	1.1 [798]		LVP	Nick Young (LAC): -7.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	79%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.06	14	61%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Randy Foye	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.06	17	32%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	17	51%	-0.01	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	68%	0.08	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.11	6	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	11	38%	0.03	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	32.8	15.8	24.2	2.3	40.6	140.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +52.2%

LAC -0.8%

MEM +7.2%

LAC -12.9%

MEM +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.6	97.7	109.3	102.8
season	16.2	15.6		106.0	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.1	16.6	19.6	13.1	16.5
MEM	17.2	15.4	17.3	17.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	39	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-10	11	15.4	17.3	-1.92	16.6	17.0	-0.42
Nick Young	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	17.5	15.9	1.68	16.4	17.1	-0.64
DeAndre Jordan	61	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-7	5	18.1	12.7	5.33	17.7	14.9	2.88
Caron Butler	51	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-9	9	16.7	16.2	0.52	18.5	14.5	4.05
Kenyon Martin	46	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	3	-15	15.6	17.5	-1.92	15.2	18.6	-3.32
Blake Griffin	67	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-5	1	15.6	19.2	-3.61	17.1	15.8	1.25
Chris Paul	75	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	15.7	21.2	-5.54	17.1	14.8	2.30
Randy Foye	64	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	8	-25	17.3	14.1	3.18	15.5	20.4	-4.92

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	69	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.31	2	7	-5	16.9	16.7	0.15	15.9	18.5	-2.63
O.J. Mayo	49	52	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	2	5	17.1	16.5	0.55	15.9	17.4	-1.51
Mike Conley	62	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	4	1	17.1	16.1	0.97	16.1	17.2	-1.08
Marc Gasol	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	5	-1	17.0	16.4	0.63	15.5	19.0	-3.43
Quincy Pondexter	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	0	9	16.6	17.2	-0.68	17.8	14.3	3.44
Marreese Speights	40	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	3	3	17.7	16.0	1.73	18.3	14.9	3.40
Zach Randolph	53	54	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	5	-1	16.6	17.2	-0.53	16.4	16.5	-0.12
Dante Cunningham	11	10	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	4	1	13.9	17.3	-3.34	14.3	16.8	-2.45
Gilbert Arenas	24	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	5	-1	16.1	17.1	-0.97	17.4	16.1	1.25
Jeremy Pargo	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	9	-9	0.0	16.8	-16.83	14.0	16.5	-2.50
Hamed Haddadi	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.02	-1	10	-11	16.0	16.9	-0.89	18.2	16.3	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 91, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	96.8%
DEN 82, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHI 84, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%