NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	5.1 [784]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +13.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	100		Comeback	15.6 [83]		LVP	Brent Barry (SEA): -16.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.02	18	76%	0.21	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.02	7	57%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	10	80%	0.11	3	-0.06	10	100%	0.03
Ron Harper	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	7	43%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.03	16	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Salley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Rick Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	12	75%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	18	59%	0.10	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	26	49%	-0.01	3	-0.05	11	64%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	10	64%	0.05	4	-0.13	13	85%	0.02
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	6	7%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	66.8	1.7	29.1	14.8	32.2	2.5	30.5	177.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +55.3%

SEA -2.5%

SEA -13.0%

LAL +8.7%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.2	120.9	108.7	101.7
season	15.3	14.9		105.6	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		102.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	14.3	13.4	14.8	14.8
SEA	14.7	16.2	18.5	17.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	42	43	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.08	20	-10	30	15.0	14.7	0.35	18.2	15.3	2.84
Kobe Bryant	80	81	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.19	15	-5	20	14.7	15.5	-0.83	17.2	12.7	4.46
Derek Fisher	43	43	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	4	2	15.1	14.6	0.49	15.6	17.6	-2.01
Rick Fox	42	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	8	-6	14.3	15.3	-1.02	15.1	18.0	-2.88
Robert Horry	43	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	3	4	15.0	14.6	0.40	15.9	17.3	-1.40
Glen Rice	48	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	4	2	15.2	14.4	0.79	18.0	15.2	2.80
Ron Harper	44	45	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	2	6	15.2	14.4	0.85	17.0	16.3	0.68
Shaquille O'Neal	74	76	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	6	-2	15.4	12.2	3.24	16.9	15.6	1.32
John Salley	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	10.4	15.1	-4.67	9.7	17.0	-7.22
Brian Shaw	15	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.12	-9	19	-28	13.3	15.1	-1.77	15.8	16.8	-1.02
Devean George	19	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	17	-24	13.0	15.3	-2.29	15.5	16.9	-1.43

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	9	9	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-17	24	14.9	16.8	-1.95	15.0	14.8	0.21
Greg Foster	10	10	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.01	5	-15	20	13.4	17.0	-3.65	15.8	14.7	1.11
Emanual Davis	71	67	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-17	24	15.4	20.8	-5.39	15.1	13.9	1.27
Horace Grant	64	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-4	-2	17.1	15.7	1.35	15.1	14.2	0.84
Gary Payton	92	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	16.7	0.0	16.65	14.8	0.0	14.81
Chuck Person	21	22	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	-1	-8	15.7	16.9	-1.28	13.4	15.3	-1.85
Vin Baker	85	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	2	-14	17.3	8.9	8.44	15.1	11.5	3.63
Brent Barry	38	42	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	2	-14	18.5	15.4	3.10	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Ruben Patterson	66	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.04	-22	12	-34	17.2	15.3	1.82	14.8	14.9	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.41,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.4%
SAS 102, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%
PHX 106, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%