NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	3.5 [1081]		MVP	George McCloud (DEN): +11.7%
Denver Nuggets	128		Comeback	1.1 [1133]		LVP	Troy Hudson (LAC): -6.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Closs	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	5	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	9	72%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	22	62%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	18	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.01	-0.06	13	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	8	46%	-0.03	3	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	12	42%	-0.00	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.02	6	79%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.05	10	86%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	72%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	15	51%	0.02	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	18	53%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	65%	0.04	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Herren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	25.6	15.4	24.9	1.7	0.0	92.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +23.0%

DEN +13.8%

LAC -2.8%

DEN +12.7%

DEN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	16.1	12.6	15.2	105.0	126.7	101.7
season	15.6	14.8		95.5	101.5
opponent	15.0	14.3		103.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.7	16.0	13.9	16.9	16.1
DEN	11.8	11.0	13.8	13.8	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marty Conlon	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-19	15	14.3	16.2	-1.86	10.1	12.8	-2.63
Keith Closs	30	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-20	17	13.4	17.2	-3.78	11.7	13.0	-1.23
Troy Hudson	79	79	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-12	1	15.6	17.9	-2.25	12.2	13.9	-1.68
Michael Olowokandi	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-10	-3	16.9	14.7	2.21	13.7	10.8	2.89
Lamar Odom	60	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.12	-14	-9	-5	16.5	15.4	1.13	13.2	11.7	1.51
Tyrone Nesby	85	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-8	-7	16.1	15.9	0.25	13.0	10.2	2.81
Eric Piatkowski	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	-3	-17	16.1	16.1	-0.06	10.9	14.6	-3.66
Maurice Taylor	87	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	-8	-7	16.2	15.2	1.06	12.9	10.6	2.34
Charles R. Jones	36	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.13	-20	-3	-17	17.0	15.5	1.48	12.4	12.7	-0.30

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	12	-1	13.2	11.1	2.01	16.5	15.0	1.43
George McCloud	55	54	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.21	22	1	21	12.6	12.6	0.01	16.8	15.2	1.56
Antonio McDyess	56	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.22	22	1	21	12.3	13.0	-0.69	17.1	14.8	2.21
Bryant Stith	29	29	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.27	23	0	23	11.8	12.9	-1.17	18.1	15.3	2.80
Nick Van Exel	71	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	11	1	13.6	10.1	3.55	16.2	15.8	0.36
Keon Clark	58	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	9	5	12.6	12.6	0.02	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Chris Herren	23	23	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	16	-9	10.1	13.3	-3.25	16.2	16.0	0.18
Ron Mercer	72	71	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	23	-23	12.9	11.8	1.17	15.3	18.1	-2.80
James Posey	39	40	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	26	-29	13.0	12.3	0.70	15.4	16.5	-1.18
Ryan Bowen	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	10.1	12.8	-2.63	14.3	16.2	-1.86
Cory Alexander	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	10.1	12.8	-2.63	14.3	16.2	-1.86
Roy Rogers	15	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.09	-1	24	-25	11.0	12.9	-1.87	12.2	16.7	-4.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, IND 136	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
83, 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%
SEA 103, DAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.1%