NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	2.2 [1221]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +8.7%
Indiana Pacers	136		Comeback	1.1 [1058]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -8.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Stack	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	1	75%	0.01	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	12	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	8	62%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Bramlett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	8	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	12	48%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	-0.12	5	25%	-0.02	2	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Andre Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	13	27%	-0.08	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	-0.00	-0.07	14	31%	-0.07	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.00	0.07	10	89%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	6	94%	0.06	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.00	0.08	13	79%	0.05	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	7	81%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	67%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	67%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	7	50%	-0.01	4	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	4	100%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	4	37%	0.02	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	34.1	16.3	24.0	2.5	0.0	104.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.8%

IND +7.3%

CLE -1.0%

CLE -2.6%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	13.8	13.4	15.2	82.2	129.5	101.7
season	14.1	15.4		98.0	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.3		101.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.0	14.8	14.0	13.3	13.8
IND	12.7	14.5	13.7	12.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Bramlett	47	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.20	-9	-39	30	13.3	14.1	-0.82	13.1	13.7	-0.63
Danny Ferry	36	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-44	40	13.6	13.8	-0.18	14.1	13.1	0.96
Cedric Henderson	36	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.27	-13	-35	22	13.6	13.9	-0.30	13.2	13.5	-0.26
Bob Sura	52	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.22	-13	-35	22	13.7	13.8	-0.09	14.1	12.7	1.39
Andre Miller	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.43	-21	-27	6	14.0	13.5	0.50	13.4	13.4	-0.03
Andrew DeClercq	60	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.61	-29	-19	-10	13.6	13.9	-0.28	13.5	13.3	0.19
Ryan Stack	15	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.32	-19	-29	10	14.4	13.7	0.75	12.7	13.5	-0.78
Brevin Knight	56	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.47	-27	-21	-6	13.5	14.0	-0.50	13.4	13.4	0.03
Lamond Murray	63	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.60	-32	-16	-16	13.6	14.0	-0.45	13.3	13.6	-0.29
Shawn Kemp	56	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.67	-35	-13	-22	14.2	13.3	0.88	13.4	13.4	-0.00
Wesley Person	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.72	-38	-10	-28	14.1	13.3	0.82	13.0	14.0	-0.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	65	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.72	40	8	32	13.7	12.9	0.74	13.4	14.3	-0.87
Reggie Miller	58	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.71	37	11	26	13.5	13.3	0.28	13.2	14.5	-1.30
Rik Smits	53	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.61	32	16	16	13.2	13.6	-0.37	13.7	13.8	-0.09
Dale Davis	68	70	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.75	35	13	22	13.3	13.6	-0.24	13.8	13.7	0.08
Austin Croshere	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.32	20	28	-8	13.7	13.2	0.47	13.7	13.8	-0.09
Travis Best	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.30	19	29	-10	13.5	13.3	0.24	14.5	13.1	1.42
Mark Jackson	47	50	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.47	24	24	0	13.8	13.1	0.68	13.0	14.4	-1.46
Sam Perkins	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	41	-34	15.1	12.7	2.47	14.4	13.5	0.97
Al Harrington	36	35	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	44	-40	12.5	13.9	-1.34	14.9	13.2	1.68
Chris Mullin	29	27	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	48	-48	14.6	13.0	1.58	14.7	13.4	1.32
Jonathan Bender	32	31	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.58	20	28	-8	11.8	14.1	-2.30	13.5	13.9	-0.43
Jeff Foster	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	46	-44	10.4	14.0	-3.58	12.6	14.0	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
83, 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SEA 103, DAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
LAC 105, DEN 128	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%