NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	7.9 [270]		MVP	Keith Closs (LAC): +9.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	97		Comeback	2.3 [147]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -24.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.07	0.00	6	54%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.07
Corliss Williamson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	61%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Chris Webber	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	27	54%	-0.02	4	-0.10	7	43%	-0.08
Peja Stojakovic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	9	11%	-0.13	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	13	52%	0.02	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24	-0.19	-0.06	-0.01	7	39%	-0.15	4	-0.09	14	50%	-0.09

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	5	64%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	7	67%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	9	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.08	-0.00	14	45%	0.09	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Avent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	6	17%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	16	43%	-0.04	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	0.0	17.4	31.4	2.6	37.2	116.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.7%

LAC +15.4%

SAC -4.7%

SAC -4.5%

LAC +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	12.4	14.0	15.2	82.7	89.8	101.7
season	13.8	15.6		102.9	95.5
opponent	14.3	14.7		107.1	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	10.0	12.1	14.7	13.3	12.4
LAC	14.5	14.1	12.0	15.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	70	70	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.33	16	-22	38	11.6	13.8	-2.24	15.5	11.2	4.28
Nick Anderson	65	65	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-11	16	11.5	13.7	-2.21	13.5	14.8	-1.38
Lawrence Funderburke	19	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	13.2	12.3	0.95	15.1	13.8	1.31
Vlade Divac	74	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-10	14	12.0	13.2	-1.22	14.5	13.1	1.39
Jason Williams	92	91	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.39	6	-12	18	12.2	13.7	-1.48	14.2	13.1	1.13
Darrick Martin	18	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	6	-18	13.7	12.2	1.48	13.1	14.2	-1.13
Chris Webber	91	92	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-4	2	12.3	13.2	-0.95	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Scot Pollard	30	29	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	5	-16	13.4	12.1	1.29	14.3	13.9	0.46
Jon Barry	51	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.28	-10	4	-14	13.6	11.4	2.20	13.9	14.1	-0.28
Peja Stojakovic	40	38	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.01	-22	16	-38	13.8	11.6	2.24	11.2	15.5	-4.28

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	63	64	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.44	14	-8	22	14.1	13.8	0.32	13.4	11.1	2.23
Keith Closs	44	46	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.07	15	-9	24	14.1	13.9	0.21	12.9	12.1	0.80
Charles R. Jones	41	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-10	26	13.8	14.1	-0.37	13.7	11.6	2.05
Eric Piatkowski	82	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	1	4	13.2	16.7	-3.53	12.4	12.5	-0.15
Eric Murdock	31	31	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-5	16	16.2	13.1	3.11	12.9	12.2	0.66
Troy Hudson	79	82	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	5	-4	13.2	16.2	-3.05	12.2	13.0	-0.82
Anthony Avent	10	10	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	2	2	16.7	13.7	2.97	10.9	12.6	-1.68
Tyrone Nesby	78	79	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.22	-9	15	-24	14.0	14.1	-0.08	12.2	13.0	-0.75
Michael Olowokandi	58	59	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.25	-17	23	-40	14.7	13.2	1.47	11.5	13.5	-1.98
Lamar Odom	54	52	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	16	-26	13.9	14.1	-0.13	11.6	13.2	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.59,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.85,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.8%
NJN 85, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.85,0.96,1	92.7%
CLE 79, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.9,0.98,1,1	92.1%