inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 110 Excitement8.7 [141] MVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): +23.6%
Charlotte Hornets 106 Comeback2.5 [232] LVPCorey Maggette (ORL): -15.9%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong0.240,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.240.180.080.021487%0.313-0.084100%0.02
Pat Garrity0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.09-0.050.10-0.031058%0.184-0.09475%-0.02
Monty Williams0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09-0.010.08-0.011252%0.101-0.025100%0.06
Michael Doleac0.030,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bo Outlaw0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Gatling-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.030.00771%0.113-0.14367%-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01729%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
John Amaechi-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.03627%-0.072-0.03367%-0.01
Ben Wallace-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.060.01764%-0.015-0.14850%-0.06
Corey Maggette-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.09-0.09-0.021442%-0.053-0.113100%0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Robinson0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.011656%0.081-0.02250%-0.01
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.02-0.01853%0.0200.001100%0.00
Bobby Phills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.011355%0.021-0.015100%0.03
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01850%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Derrick Coleman0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.011750%0.052-0.066100%0.04
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.110.03-0.03545%0.013-0.071070%-0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00739%-0.0700.00475%-0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12-0.12-0.14-0.01-0.031129%-0.053-0.07250%-0.01
Baron Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.10-0.06-0.011140%-0.063-0.09367%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.21.833.115.625.32.436.5143.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +54.0%
ORL +10.5%
ORL +13.5%
CHH -28.2%
ORL +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHHNBAORLCHHNBA
this game13.812.915.2101.998.1101.7
season13.614.9100.4101.5
opponent15.115.499.299.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL10.515.214.615.213.8
CHH13.59.614.214.812.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong91920.98-0.481.460.2824-204413.316.1-2.7213.78.25.53
Monty Williams50510.86-0.361.220.3916-122812.714.7-1.9915.111.04.09
Tariq Abdul-Wahad66660.83-0.331.170.2221-173812.316.1-3.8914.410.63.77
Ben Wallace69700.65-0.150.800.3311-71813.214.8-1.6113.611.71.87
Michael Doleac38390.60-0.100.71-0.1626-224810.815.4-4.6015.311.53.81
Pat Garrity38380.270.230.040.30-15-615.213.02.1811.913.5-1.59
Chris Gatling4243-0.020.52-0.55-0.0204-414.213.50.7313.112.80.32
Bo Outlaw3435-0.210.71-0.910.29-1721-3815.912.83.0411.413.6-2.26
John Amaechi2017-0.410.91-1.320.23-2226-4816.513.13.356.514.1-7.56
Corey Maggette6260-0.470.97-1.440.03-1721-3815.012.22.8210.915.3-4.38
Chucky Atkins3029-0.591.09-1.670.03-2125-4616.212.83.379.014.3-5.38

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller44430.28-0.781.06-0.0411-152610.714.4-3.6315.512.62.90
Baron Davis59580.25-0.750.99-0.2517-213811.115.1-3.9615.711.64.08
Ricky Davis42420.06-0.560.62-0.2611-152611.313.9-2.6815.612.62.95
Bobby Phills6160-0.16-0.340.17-0.4911-152611.914.1-2.2114.512.81.76
Elden Campbell4445-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-106-1614.711.63.0912.015.0-3.07
Eddie Robinson8886-0.540.04-0.58-0.10-1511-2613.79.24.5413.415.4-2.00
Anthony Mason6770-0.540.04-0.58-0.42-40-413.412.01.4513.015.2-2.14
Derrick Coleman6970-0.630.13-0.76-0.04-2016-3613.611.71.8112.915.4-2.47
David Wesley6666-0.920.42-1.33-0.30-2117-3814.310.73.5712.615.6-3.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.09,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 100, ORL 950.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.01,091.7%
MIA 85, CHH 800.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.25,0.45,0.22,0.23,091.0%
ATL 105, DAL 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.15,0.13,091.0%