NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	6.0 [599]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): +7.2%
Denver Nuggets	97		Comeback	2.4 [201]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -13.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	61%	0.12	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Stacey Augmon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Steven Smith	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	11	41%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	12	40%	-0.05	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	9	57%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Herren	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.04	0.05	21	51%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	18	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	27.0	15.5	26.2	1.8	30.3	127.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +21.5%

DEN +3.7%

POR -3.6%

DEN +19.4%

DEN +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	15.8	16.5	15.2	98.9	109.0	101.7
season	15.9	14.8		105.9	101.5
opponent	15.0	15.7		103.7	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.5	16.5	15.4	13.9	15.8
DEN	15.9	17.8	15.2	17.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	53	53	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.04	8	-17	25	16.3	15.2	1.10	16.5	16.6	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-9	9	13.9	16.1	-2.18	19.5	16.1	3.43
Greg Anthony	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-7	5	16.4	15.5	0.82	17.3	16.1	1.26
Arvydas Sabonis	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-7	5	16.6	15.6	1.00	17.0	16.4	0.68
Rasheed Wallace	62	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-1	-7	15.6	16.3	-0.68	16.1	17.5	-1.35
Stacey Augmon	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-6	3	16.9	15.1	1.84	17.3	16.1	1.18
Damon Stoudamire	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-2	-5	15.5	16.4	-0.82	16.1	17.3	-1.26
Steven Smith	64	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	14.8	18.5	-3.75	16.2	17.4	-1.20
Scottie Pippen	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	1	-11	15.7	16.2	-0.53	16.3	17.1	-0.87
Brian Grant	44	46	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	7	-23	16.5	15.1	1.39	16.4	16.7	-0.26

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Stith	33	35	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-8	25	16.0	16.8	-0.81	16.9	15.1	1.80
Ron Mercer	83	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-1	11	16.4	18.3	-1.92	15.9	15.0	0.88
Raef LaFrentz	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	16.9	14.9	2.00	15.7	16.3	-0.56
Nick Van Exel	80	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	3	3	16.5	16.6	-0.02	15.6	17.6	-2.01
Antonio McDyess	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	0	9	16.9	15.6	1.26	15.9	15.6	0.29
Keon Clark	26	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	4	1	15.3	17.0	-1.69	16.5	15.5	0.95
Chris Herren	9	10	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	6	-3	16.6	16.5	0.02	17.6	15.6	2.01
Ryan Bowen	15	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	12	-15	18.3	16.2	2.08	17.4	15.5	1.91
Roy Rogers	14	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	13	-17	15.2	16.8	-1.57	14.9	16.0	-1.15
James Posey	47	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	15	-21	16.6	16.5	0.07	14.4	17.3	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.67,0.59,0.72,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
MIN 85, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.82,0.92,0.87,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	93.1%
CLE 86, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	92.7%