NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	4.5 [902]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +18.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	3.0 [117]		LVP	Steven Smith (POR): -11.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.02	-0.01	23	67%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.03	-0.04	17	66%	0.18	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	9	55%	0.08	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.00
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	15	69%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.02	8	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Harvey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	14	57%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	44%	-0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.04	0.08	12	66%	-0.01	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	11	39%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	25.7	15.0	24.0	1.8	31.0	125.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +26.6%

POR -0.6%

PHX +5.1%

PHX +18.0%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.2	115.8	107.4	101.7
season	14.8	15.9		101.4	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.3		99.1	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	15.8	15.8	14.7	15.3
POR	14.4	17.8	15.5	13.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oliver Miller	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	5	-2	14.2	17.1	-2.90	14.7	15.6	-0.93
Clifford Robinson	90	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	2	4	15.3	14.4	0.93	14.5	21.4	-6.91
Jason Kidd	79	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-2	12	15.8	12.7	3.05	15.3	13.8	1.47
Tom Gugliotta	79	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	4	0	15.1	16.3	-1.24	15.0	15.0	0.04
Todd Day	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	2	4	15.2	15.4	-0.15	14.2	16.0	-1.73
Rex Chapman	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	4	0	15.6	15.0	0.60	15.9	14.1	1.83
Rodney Rogers	46	47	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.16	8	0	8	16.5	14.2	2.31	16.4	13.7	2.63
Randy Livingston	16	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	10	-12	12.7	15.8	-3.05	13.8	15.3	-1.47
Mark West	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	7	-6	17.2	15.2	2.02	14.8	15.0	-0.24

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	41	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-9	10	15.7	14.5	1.19	17.1	14.0	3.08
Stacey Augmon	19	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-4	0	16.6	14.6	1.93	16.8	14.9	1.91
Antonio Harvey	7	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-3	-2	15.9	15.0	0.89	12.3	15.5	-3.15
Greg Anthony	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-5	2	14.2	15.7	-1.46	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Arvydas Sabonis	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	0	-8	15.2	14.9	0.33	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Rasheed Wallace	78	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-12	16	14.7	16.6	-1.90	15.6	13.6	2.07
Damon Stoudamire	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-9	10	14.9	15.5	-0.66	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Brian Grant	35	35	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	2	-12	15.7	14.6	1.04	15.4	15.2	0.23
Scottie Pippen	80	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	15.0	15.1	-0.12	14.9	17.4	-2.43
Steven Smith	63	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	2	-12	14.7	15.6	-0.89	14.4	17.2	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 106, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DEN 103, ORL 89	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
TOR 110, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%