NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	4.4 [919]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +15.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Comeback	2.6 [193]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): -12.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	15	68%	0.20	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	13	59%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.02	15	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	14	49%	-0.02	5	-0.02	11	73%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	16	58%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.08	6	67%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	17	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	46%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	16	41%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	7	35%	-0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.8	27.2	15.7	27.2	2.4	25.3	126.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +39.3%

WAS +2.2%

WAS +12.5%

CLE -2.0%

CLE -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.7	117.8	95.7	100.5
season	15.2	15.7		96.4	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.3	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.6	15.5	15.0	16.1	15.8
CLE	14.1	16.5	17.7	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	60	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-2	22	15.8	15.8	0.08	16.0	15.4	0.58
Jerry Stackhouse	76	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-2	22	15.8	15.9	-0.13	16.2	13.7	2.48
Gilbert Arenas	76	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	2	14	16.0	14.7	1.31	16.0	15.0	0.97
Kwame Brown	71	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	5	8	16.4	13.8	2.51	15.4	17.3	-1.89
Juan Dixon	45	44	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	4	10	15.9	15.7	0.18	16.8	14.9	1.95
Steve Blake	35	37	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	8	2	14.7	16.5	-1.81	15.7	15.9	-0.16
Jarvis Hayes	12	12	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	18	-18	13.7	16.2	-2.49	14.1	16.1	-2.00
Jared Jeffries	48	50	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	17	-16	15.5	16.2	-0.69	15.5	16.3	-0.80
Etan Thomas	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	18	-18	16.2	15.8	0.39	17.7	15.5	2.17
Larry Hughes	14	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	22	-26	17.1	15.6	1.56	12.5	16.4	-3.92

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dajuan Wagner	26	27	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.23	11	-29	40	14.6	16.3	-1.69	16.6	15.5	1.10
Ira Newble	54	51	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-20	22	15.6	16.2	-0.65	15.8	15.9	-0.13
DeSagana Diop	35	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-22	26	14.9	16.4	-1.43	15.7	15.9	-0.22
Jason Kapono	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	14.2	16.0	-1.73	15.9	15.8	0.06
Kedrick Brown	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	-11	4	17.2	15.7	1.55	15.7	15.8	-0.17
Kevin Ollie	37	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-17	16	16.1	15.7	0.38	14.9	16.4	-1.42
Jeff McInnis	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.16	-19	1	-20	15.8	15.9	-0.07	15.9	15.7	0.12
Eric Williams	42	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	-1	-16	16.2	15.5	0.67	15.8	15.8	0.02
Carlos Boozer	68	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	-4	-10	16.0	15.2	0.78	16.0	15.2	0.87
LeBron James	64	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.17	-24	6	-30	15.9	15.7	0.11	15.8	15.8	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.13	-23	5	-28	16.4	14.5	1.96	15.8	15.8	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
LAL 123, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
TOR 110, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%