NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	4.6 [879]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +13.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	1.3 [908]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -17.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	5	92%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.03	13	66%	0.06	2	0.01	9	89%	0.03
Devean George	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.02	-0.05	24	49%	0.08	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.01
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.01	19	49%	-0.04	7	-0.13	11	36%	-0.10

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	22	60%	0.10	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	23	46%	-0.06	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.0	31.2	17.6	24.0	2.8	32.3	130.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +23.7%

LAL +14.8%

LAL +9.9%

MIN -0.8%

LAL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.4	13.7	15.2	101.0	92.6	101.7
season	15.3	15.1		105.6	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		101.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	15.4	16.8	17.4	16.4
MIN	14.7	15.9	13.9	10.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	49	47	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.07	19	-10	29	16.5	16.4	0.13	13.4	14.0	-0.62
Derek Fisher	53	51	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.06	19	-10	29	16.2	16.7	-0.45	13.3	14.2	-0.91
Kobe Bryant	87	88	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	2	5	16.6	14.8	1.82	13.8	12.4	1.39
Shaquille O'Neal	89	88	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	3	3	17.0	9.4	7.55	13.9	11.1	2.78
Rick Fox	27	27	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	16.7	16.3	0.33	12.3	14.3	-1.93
Glen Rice	69	69	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	10	-11	16.3	16.7	-0.33	14.1	12.7	1.36
John Salley	2	2	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	5	-1	17.0	16.4	0.59	24.5	13.5	11.02
Devean George	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	9	-9	0.0	16.4	-16.43	2.0	13.8	-11.84
Ron Harper	52	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.21	-8	17	-25	16.3	16.5	-0.18	14.0	13.4	0.53
A.C. Green	52	51	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	20	-31	15.4	17.6	-2.23	13.7	13.7	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-8	7	6.7	14.0	-7.27	6.4	17.0	-10.58
William Avery	7	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-6	3	14.9	13.6	1.23	16.6	16.4	0.22
Anthony Peeler	50	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-6	3	13.4	14.1	-0.67	16.5	16.4	0.11
Rasho Nesterovic	67	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-15	21	14.3	12.4	1.88	17.7	13.4	4.32
Sam Mitchell	22	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-3	-3	13.9	13.7	0.19	18.3	15.8	2.53
Wally Szczerbiak	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-6	3	13.7	13.9	-0.19	15.8	18.3	-2.53
Tom Hammonds	24	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.09	-14	5	-19	13.3	13.8	-0.51	14.9	16.9	-2.07
Malik Sealy	46	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-2	-5	13.8	13.6	0.17	16.6	16.3	0.29
Terrell Brandon	88	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	13.6	14.9	-1.23	16.4	16.6	-0.22
Kevin Garnett	94	95	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	-1	-7	13.8	2.0	11.84	16.3	26.0	-9.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, LAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0.01,0	94.9%
GSW 125, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
MIL 122, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%