NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	78		Excitement	7.6 [309]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +14.0%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	1.9 [805]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -22.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	16	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	13	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	10	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	8	25%	-0.14	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
George Lynch	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	12	37%	-0.13	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Billy Owens	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	11	46%	-0.06	4	-0.15	4	50%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	21	66%	0.19	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.07	-0.03	11	44%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.05
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	-0.00	15	20%	-0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.0	30.0	16.8	24.2	2.4	37.6	139.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +42.7%

NYK +14.8%

PHI -13.9%

NYK +2.3%

NYK +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.2	86.7	94.4	101.7
season	15.0	16.1		99.5	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.5		98.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.3	13.3	18.9	16.0	16.1
NYK	15.0	18.0	14.5	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	13.5	16.4	-2.85	17.7	15.7	2.03
Billy Owens	57	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.43	13	-20	33	15.8	16.7	-0.89	16.6	14.8	1.82
George Lynch	71	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-7	7	16.0	16.4	-0.34	16.2	14.9	1.29
Kevin Ollie	26	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-3	-1	15.5	16.3	-0.84	15.9	15.9	0.02
Larry Hughes	50	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-7	7	15.6	16.7	-1.08	16.9	14.8	2.13
Bruce Bowen	8	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-1	-5	12.9	16.4	-3.54	16.9	15.8	1.15
Tyrone Hill	77	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-6	5	16.0	16.6	-0.60	15.6	18.2	-2.60
Aaron McKie	41	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	2	-11	16.7	15.6	1.16	15.1	16.6	-1.42
Eric Snow	64	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-4	1	16.3	15.5	0.84	15.9	15.9	-0.02
Matt Geiger	48	46	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.13	-24	17	-41	17.7	14.3	3.36	14.3	17.6	-3.35

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	80	81	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-7	21	15.6	18.6	-3.04	16.7	11.0	5.67
Larry Johnson	60	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-5	17	16.0	15.7	0.25	16.7	14.8	1.91
Charlie Ward	51	52	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-2	11	15.2	16.8	-1.53	16.4	15.7	0.77
Marcus Camby	54	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	7	-7	16.1	15.6	0.53	15.3	17.2	-1.94
Kurt Thomas	33	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	4	-1	15.7	16.0	-0.32	16.7	15.7	0.99
Chris Childs	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.11	-2	9	-11	16.8	15.2	1.53	15.7	16.4	-0.77
Allan Houston	66	65	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	5	-3	15.7	16.6	-0.93	16.2	15.9	0.30
John Wallace	10	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	14	-21	18.6	15.6	3.04	11.0	16.7	-5.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.84,0.89,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.61,0.75,0.88,0.97,1,1	93.4%
CHA 81, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,1	93.2%
LAC 95, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	93.0%