inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 90 Excitement2.8 [1180] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +3.5%
Boston Celtics 115 Comeback1.0 [1049] LVPRaef LaFrentz (DEN): -10.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.01471%0.011-0.00683%-0.02
Bryant Stith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
George McCloud-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00350%-0.0000.002100%-0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01462%-0.0010.00580%-0.00
Roy Rogers-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0840%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Keon Clark-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03430%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Antonio McDyess-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.051350%-0.033-0.021457%-0.07
Chauncey Billups-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.010.000.051166%-0.044-0.02786%-0.00
Ron Mercer-0.070,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.130.00-0.06614%-0.042-0.0320%-0.01
Nick Van Exel-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.15-0.01-0.05850%0.027-0.134100%0.01
Raef LaFrentz-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.000.021246%-0.064-0.0520%-0.03

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.021062%0.072-0.044100%0.01
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.010.051070%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02667%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.001045%0.0300.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.05771%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.01962%0.062-0.04683%0.01
Pervis Ellison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.032100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Doug Overton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.11-0.00-0.101749%0.025-0.03786%0.01
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.02367%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.03743%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.120.00-0.09832%-0.033-0.00367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.428.615.330.41.525.2125.9
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +27.0%
BOS +8.3%
BOS +7.5%
BOS +7.4%
DEN -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENBOSNBADENBOSNBA
this game14.412.715.284.9107.5101.7
season14.814.7101.5102.4
opponent15.115.0103.3103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN11.714.815.016.714.4
BOS13.612.410.414.712.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryant Stith550.05-0.550.59-0.043-283111.414.5-3.1217.612.45.17
Cory Alexander1717-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-283116.014.11.9314.912.32.63
Ryan Bowen3535-0.00-0.500.49-0.217-323916.513.43.1113.112.50.66
Roy Rogers3636-0.01-0.490.49-0.155-303516.513.33.2112.912.50.41
Keon Clark3433-0.18-0.320.150.09-9-16713.115.0-1.8513.912.11.74
Chauncey Billups5049-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-211714.814.00.8013.512.01.51
George McCloud3839-0.25-0.25-0.000.07-11-14313.115.1-1.9812.213.0-0.78
James Posey5858-0.31-0.19-0.110.40-24-1-2314.314.5-0.2212.113.3-1.21
Nick Van Exel5960-0.34-0.16-0.190.36-24-1-2314.414.4-0.0511.913.7-1.76
Antonio McDyess7071-0.40-0.10-0.300.42-283-3113.516.0-2.5012.313.4-1.08
Ron Mercer5658-0.41-0.09-0.330.32-250-2513.515.4-1.9412.313.1-0.75
Raef LaFrentz7274-0.42-0.08-0.340.11-18-7-1114.713.61.1212.413.4-1.04

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenny Anderson55560.350.150.20-0.382502511.613.8-2.1714.314.4-0.08
Adrian Griffin52520.330.170.16-0.4326-12710.914.3-3.4014.314.4-0.10
Antoine Walker61620.280.220.07-0.241871111.614.1-2.4814.314.5-0.13
Paul Pierce62630.250.250.00-0.332051512.013.6-1.6013.915.1-1.24
Tony Battie56550.240.26-0.01-0.111213-113.711.52.2213.715.1-1.35
Walter McCarty46440.220.28-0.070.01718-1114.111.62.4814.514.30.13
Dana Barros44430.200.30-0.100.05520-1513.712.01.7514.114.5-0.40
Eric Williams48480.190.31-0.110.16124-2314.111.52.5614.914.00.91
Calbert Cheaney50480.180.32-0.150.15124-2313.911.62.3414.914.00.87
Vitaly Potapenko30310.160.34-0.18-0.191213-111.013.3-2.3714.214.4-0.21
Pervis Ellison21200.090.41-0.310.07124-2312.312.8-0.4816.413.92.49
Doug Overton108-0.000.50-0.510.09-328-3114.212.51.6814.414.4-0.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 109, SEA 1330.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
PHX 104, CHI 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,196.9%
BOS 83, NJN 1030.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%