NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	107		Excitement	9.2 [99]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +26.9%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	5.0 [349]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): -31.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	77%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.00	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.12	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	36%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Gatling	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	16	42%	0.01	4	-0.16	1	0%	-0.04
Monty Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	50%	-0.05	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.15,-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	18	43%	0.04	7	-0.20	1	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.29	-0.12	-0.18	-0.02	8	22%	-0.20	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.07	0.18	-0.02	14	78%	0.36	5	-0.09	9	89%	0.05
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.12	0.04	9	77%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	12	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	13	63%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Luc Longley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	2	83%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	40%	-0.04	4	-0.10	3	67%	0.02
Rex Chapman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	13	35%	-0.15	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.21	-0.11	-0.01	9	11%	-0.18	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	32.4	15.6	25.2	1.8	36.0	140.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +32.5%

PHX +23.1%

ORL -32.1%

PHX +29.3%

ORL -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	12.1	14.4	15.2	100.0	100.0	101.7
season	13.6	14.8		100.4	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		96.8	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	10.9	12.2	10.6	15.0	12.1
PHX	13.0	16.0	15.1	13.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	45	49	0.43	-0.93	1.36	-0.04	16	-19	35	10.2	13.5	-3.21	15.9	13.2	2.61
Ben Wallace	59	62	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.01	10	-13	23	10.5	14.0	-3.48	14.7	14.0	0.69
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	40	41	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.09	10	-13	23	11.3	12.6	-1.32	15.4	13.8	1.56
Corey Maggette	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.42	9	-12	21	13.0	11.5	1.54	15.8	13.5	2.27
Chucky Atkins	27	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.06	-4	1	-5	13.8	11.5	2.24	14.3	14.4	-0.15
Bo Outlaw	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	7	-17	12.8	11.0	1.89	15.1	13.5	1.60
Darrell Armstrong	81	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-4	5	11.4	14.2	-2.76	14.3	14.8	-0.52
John Amaechi	14	15	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.13	-17	14	-31	12.6	12.0	0.62	11.5	14.9	-3.33
Monty Williams	59	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.52	3	-6	9	12.1	12.1	-0.08	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Anthony Parker	22	24	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.14	-20	17	-37	12.6	12.0	0.67	11.0	15.3	-4.31
Pat Garrity	32	32	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.52	0	-3	3	12.7	11.8	0.92	13.1	15.0	-1.90
Chris Gatling	48	48	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.40	-13	10	-23	14.0	10.5	3.48	14.0	14.7	-0.69

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	70	69	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.31	23	-20	43	13.4	16.1	-2.70	13.4	9.7	3.71
Rex Chapman	83	79	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.54	3	0	3	14.2	15.0	-0.78	12.0	12.4	-0.34
Oliver Miller	82	81	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-8	19	13.8	16.2	-2.47	12.2	11.9	0.24
Clifford Robinson	58	54	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.54	0	3	-3	14.2	14.6	-0.39	12.6	11.6	0.91
Jason Kidd	92	89	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.51	-3	6	-9	14.6	13.3	1.35	11.9	13.0	-1.08
Randy Livingston	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.18	9	-6	15	14.5	14.4	0.12	13.6	11.6	2.09
Mark West	5	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	3	-3	13.8	14.4	-0.64	6.2	12.3	-6.08
Toby Bailey	3	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	5	-7	16.7	14.3	2.32	4.5	12.2	-7.75
Todd Day	61	62	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.12	1	2	-1	15.1	13.5	1.66	11.5	12.9	-1.32
Luc Longley	15	14	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	15	-27	16.7	14.1	2.61	10.6	12.3	-1.76
Tom Gugliotta	53	53	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.06	-15	18	-33	15.2	13.7	1.50	11.2	12.9	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 112, POR 117	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.33,0.97,1	89.8%
ATL 97, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.65,0.73,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.58,1	89.3%
NJN 69, CHI 71	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.41,1	88.5%