NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	4.5 [895]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (HOU): +11.6%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	1.1 [492]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): -14.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.01	0.05	16	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rex Chapman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Todd Day	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	15	55%	0.02	8	-0.14	8	62%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.03	14	40%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	11	25%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	16	79%	0.15	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	15	62%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	16	42%	0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.8	16.0	25.0	2.5	28.8	126.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +43.7%

PHX -4.9%

PHX -6.3%

HOU +13.8%

HOU +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	13.6	15.9	15.2	99.0	106.1	101.7
season	14.8	15.4		101.4	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.3		103.5	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	14.6	12.5	13.5	13.6
HOU	15.6	14.8	16.8	16.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-14	18	11.5	13.9	-2.31	19.8	15.4	4.47
Todd Day	35	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-15	20	11.8	14.6	-2.78	16.6	15.5	1.05
Rodney Rogers	46	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-15	20	12.6	14.5	-1.85	17.9	14.2	3.70
Rex Chapman	48	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-13	16	14.3	12.9	1.35	16.8	15.0	1.80
Oliver Miller	39	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-2	-6	13.1	14.0	-0.91	17.3	14.9	2.43
Luc Longley	33	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	0	-10	15.1	12.8	2.28	14.0	16.8	-2.82
Clifford Robinson	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	13.4	14.1	-0.74	16.6	14.3	2.26
Anfernee Hardaway	77	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-1	-8	13.8	12.9	0.87	15.2	19.1	-3.89
Tom Gugliotta	49	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.01	-16	6	-22	14.8	12.4	2.37	13.6	18.2	-4.58
Jason Kidd	76	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.04	-18	8	-26	13.8	12.9	0.81	14.9	19.5	-4.62

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	87	84	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	3	4	16.0	15.4	0.56	13.4	15.2	-1.89
Shandon Anderson	87	84	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	6	-2	16.0	15.2	0.84	13.5	14.0	-0.46
Kelvin Cato	54	54	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	5	0	16.2	15.5	0.73	13.3	14.0	-0.68
Charles Barkley	71	70	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	5	0	16.2	15.1	1.12	13.4	14.2	-0.82
Cuttino Mobley	50	49	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	4	2	15.3	16.5	-1.23	13.9	13.2	0.70
Kenny Thomas	56	53	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	1	8	15.2	16.8	-1.64	14.2	12.9	1.24
Matt Bullard	33	32	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	3	4	16.5	15.6	0.95	13.4	13.7	-0.28
Walt Williams	42	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	6	-2	15.6	16.1	-0.55	13.8	13.5	0.31
Thomas Hamilton	15	14	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	7	-4	16.4	15.8	0.58	14.2	13.5	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIL 87, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.65,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHI 97, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%