NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	3.7 [1043]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +3.0%
Golden State Warriors	79		Comeback	1.2 [813]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -12.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	20	51%	0.06	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.16	0.01	-0.13	17	37%	0.01	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	25%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
John Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Lang	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	14	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	10	40%	-0.03	3	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	17	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	0.00	-0.02	17	23%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	577.6	0.2	31.1	58.8	-697.4	-3.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +47.2%

NYK +2.5%

NYK +9.2%

GSW -10.6%

NYK +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.2	91.5	83.2	101.7
season	16.1	14.7		100.0	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.8		105.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.2	13.5	20.2	15.3	15.3
GSW	15.1	15.3	15.0	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-1	9	15.3	15.4	-0.15	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Latrell Sprewell	84	85	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	2	3	15.5	13.3	2.24	15.4	13.1	2.32
Chris Dudley	39	41	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	-7	21	12.8	17.1	-4.28	15.5	14.9	0.59
Chris Childs	31	31	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-3	13	14.7	15.6	-0.83	15.6	15.0	0.69
Kurt Thomas	61	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	7	-7	15.3	15.4	-0.10	15.8	14.0	1.82
Charlie Ward	63	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	10	-13	15.6	14.7	0.83	15.0	15.6	-0.69
Marcus Camby	39	41	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	5	-3	15.4	15.3	0.10	14.0	16.0	-1.99
John Wallace	28	28	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	2	3	14.8	15.5	-0.73	15.7	15.0	0.71
Andrew Lang	45	43	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	6	-5	17.6	13.1	4.50	15.6	14.8	0.74
Rick Brunson	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	14	-21	13.0	15.4	-2.43	5.7	15.8	-10.15

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Farmer	21	22	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.40	15	-22	37	11.0	16.4	-5.30	17.1	14.7	2.34
Tim Legler	17	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-19	31	11.6	16.0	-4.37	13.3	15.7	-2.39
Donyell Marshall	67	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-5	3	15.7	13.9	1.82	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Damon Jones	12	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-3	-1	13.9	15.4	-1.44	10.5	16.1	-5.61
John Starks	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	2	-11	16.8	12.9	3.85	16.1	14.2	1.87
Terry Cummings	36	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	15.0	15.3	-0.33	15.3	15.3	-0.05
Mookie Blaylock	83	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-4	1	15.4	13.9	1.44	16.1	10.5	5.61
Chris Mills	64	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	4	-15	13.5	18.6	-5.10	14.4	17.2	-2.83
Antawn Jamison	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	15.7	13.4	2.25	15.5	14.6	0.89
Adonal Foyle	46	46	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.15	-22	15	-37	17.3	13.1	4.20	15.5	15.1	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, MIL 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
PHI 103, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
HOU 96, LAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%