NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	8.3 [197]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +7.5%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	2.1 [550]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -29.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	11	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	19	56%	0.10	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Darrick Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Peja Stojakovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	15	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	4	56%	-0.07	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.03
Nick Anderson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	7	0%	-0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29	-0.19	-0.11	-0.00	9	17%	-0.15	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Pack	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	14	67%	0.18	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	13	60%	0.09	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	18	42%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	26	44%	-0.05	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.03
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.07	-0.02	13	12%	-0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.2	22.5	15.7	24.0	1.8	33.2	123.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +9.2%

SAC +7.6%

SAC +11.5%

SAC +21.0%

SAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.0	14.0	15.2	96.3	88.7	101.7
season	13.8	14.8		102.9	104.2
opponent	14.8	14.7		104.6	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.2	13.2	12.4	14.4	13.0
DAL	14.0	13.9	13.8	14.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	72	70	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.23	18	-9	27	13.6	11.9	1.73	14.1	13.8	0.29
Jon Barry	52	51	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.23	17	-8	25	13.8	12.3	1.52	14.1	13.9	0.26
Darrick Martin	51	49	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-7	23	13.8	12.3	1.52	13.8	14.2	-0.42
Scot Pollard	36	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-2	13	15.7	11.7	3.95	15.9	13.0	2.90
Chris Webber	87	87	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	9	-9	12.7	14.6	-1.91	13.8	15.1	-1.35
Lawrence Funderburke	20	19	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	0	9	14.6	12.7	1.91	15.1	13.8	1.35
Vlade Divac	68	68	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.37	-6	15	-21	12.2	14.5	-2.27	13.2	15.4	-2.17
Jason Williams	59	60	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.13	-3	12	-15	11.7	14.7	-2.98	13.9	14.1	-0.15
Nick Anderson	55	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	17	-25	12.3	13.8	-1.52	13.9	14.1	-0.26
Corliss Williamson	35	36	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.01	-9	18	-27	11.9	13.6	-1.73	13.8	14.1	-0.29

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	40	40	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-17	25	12.7	14.8	-2.01	11.7	13.8	-2.07
Hubert Davis	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-3	-3	13.4	14.1	-0.70	14.5	12.8	1.73
Steve Nash	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-7	5	14.5	13.8	0.66	14.2	12.7	1.56
Michael Finley	98	98	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-9	9	13.5	19.7	-6.22	13.1	12.7	0.41
Robert Pack	88	89	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.23	2	-11	13	13.5	16.6	-3.15	13.0	13.5	-0.54
Shawn Bradley	49	49	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	2	-13	15.7	12.6	3.11	13.7	12.5	1.16
Dirk Nowitzki	83	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-7	5	13.7	15.0	-1.33	13.0	13.1	-0.10
Erick Strickland	84	87	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	2	-13	14.2	13.4	0.75	13.1	13.0	0.06
Cedric Ceballos	47	48	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.10	-23	14	-37	15.4	12.8	2.60	12.5	13.5	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.53,0.22,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.45,0.1,0.1,0.05,0	92.4%
POR 98, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.04,0	92.4%
LAC 94, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.15,0.16,0.05,0	91.7%