inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 103 Excitement3.8 [1024] MVPEddie Jones (CHH): +13.3%
Orlando Magic 92 Comeback1.5 [709] LVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): -13.8%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.180.010.051781%0.173-0.043100%0.01
Bobby Phills0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.01-0.022357%0.104-0.051100%0.00
Anthony Mason0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.070.01-0.071150%0.032-0.021040%-0.04
Todd Fuller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00756%0.011-0.01250%-0.01
David Wesley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.01-0.051543%0.034-0.0600%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.04217%-0.032-0.02250%-0.01
Baron Davis-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.01430%-0.032-0.04250%-0.00
Brad Miller-0.090,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.00-0.03727%-0.043-0.0410%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monty Williams0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.010.041070%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.01850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.071141%0.044-0.0700%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03533%-0.031-0.0020%-0.03
John Amaechi0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01844%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.000.04960%-0.023-0.032100%0.00
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.100.00-0.0440%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.16-0.03-0.08742%-0.034-0.081242%-0.06
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.020.051550%-0.054-0.096100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.01.826.315.726.32.328.8130.1
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +32.6%
ORL -0.9%
CHH +9.6%
CHH +7.8%
CHH +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHORLNBACHHORLNBA
this game14.712.915.298.188.5101.7
season14.913.6101.5100.4
opponent15.415.199.399.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH14.214.213.616.814.7
ORL13.013.513.012.012.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wesley82800.57-0.070.630.0418-72514.316.0-1.7113.510.82.72
Anthony Mason100990.490.010.470.2874314.713.01.7512.716.6-3.90
Todd Fuller46440.390.110.28-0.1719-82713.515.5-2.0012.713.0-0.27
Bobby Phills78770.380.120.260.2356-115.213.21.9412.414.1-1.71
Eddie Jones96960.350.150.190.2347-314.713.80.9712.813.4-0.53
Brad Miller48470.260.240.01-0.1313-21514.115.1-1.0414.411.62.81
Baron Davis50500.140.36-0.230.16-112-1315.813.62.1611.913.8-1.90
Elden Campbell2527-0.060.56-0.610.24-1021-3114.614.7-0.1412.513.0-0.49

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Doleac10110.08-0.580.65-0.075-162111.913.0-1.0916.414.51.90
Earl Boykins1515-0.01-0.490.49-0.155-162113.012.90.1317.114.32.88
Ben Wallace4948-0.08-0.420.34-0.349-202912.713.0-0.2815.014.40.69
Tariq Abdul-Wahad4446-0.11-0.390.29-0.317-182512.713.0-0.3514.914.50.36
Corey Maggette4646-0.18-0.320.130.11-10-1-912.213.4-1.2014.714.7-0.03
Chris Gatling3029-0.22-0.280.060.33-198-2713.312.70.5813.415.1-1.73
Darrell Armstrong7476-0.24-0.260.02-0.364-151912.912.9-0.0215.113.71.40
Chucky Atkins4646-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.17-3-8512.013.6-1.6314.414.8-0.41
John Amaechi4544-0.32-0.18-0.140.12-154-1913.412.50.9114.015.2-1.23
Monty Williams4950-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-143-1713.912.01.8814.115.2-1.04
Bo Outlaw7475-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.421-121312.713.3-0.6315.013.91.12
Pat Garrity3839-0.45-0.05-0.410.28-2514-3913.612.51.0913.915.1-1.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 95, NOH 840.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
GSW 115, ATL 930.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
PHI 106, LAC 800.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%