NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	3.1 [1185]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +10.2%
New Orleans Hornets	84		Comeback	1.6 [388]		LVP	Jackson Vroman (NOH): -9.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	19	69%	0.11	2	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.00	0.08	7	112%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Loren Woods	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	3	25%	-0.01	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	71%	-0.01	2	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	13	64%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	37%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	8	39%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	9	10%	-0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	26.4	16.3	23.1	1.6	28.4	123.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +44.8%

TOR +1.8%

NOH -1.2%

TOR +3.5%

TOR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NOH	NBA	TOR	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	15.3	15.5	101.1	92.3	104.0
season	15.1	16.5		104.8	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.4	15.7	14.6	17.9	15.9
NOH	14.0	16.3	16.1	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	72	71	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-4	19	15.9	15.6	0.28	15.8	13.2	2.60
Milt Palacio	45	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	5	1	16.8	15.0	1.78	15.6	15.0	0.57
Jalen Rose	69	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	-10	31	15.2	17.6	-2.38	15.5	14.8	0.65
Donyell Marshall	43	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	3	5	15.9	15.8	0.06	15.3	15.2	0.05
Chris Bosh	83	79	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	2	7	15.7	17.0	-1.30	15.4	14.7	0.70
Rafer Alston	77	75	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	11	-11	15.7	16.4	-0.68	15.1	15.9	-0.73
Loren Woods	11	12	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	7	-3	16.6	15.7	0.89	14.6	15.4	-0.80
Lamond Murray	9	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	11	-11	19.6	15.5	4.10	14.4	15.4	-0.99
Rafael Araujo	36	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	10	-9	14.9	16.4	-1.47	15.5	15.1	0.36
Pape Sow	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	20.3	15.7	4.63	10.0	15.5	-5.45
Morris Peterson	22	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	15	-19	15.6	15.9	-0.28	13.2	15.8	-2.60

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	56	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-11	11	14.7	16.1	-1.36	16.1	15.5	0.60
J.R. Smith	40	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-5	-1	16.0	14.7	1.38	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Dan Dickau	43	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	0	-11	15.8	14.8	0.93	14.7	16.8	-2.07
Speedy Claxton	48	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-11	11	14.8	15.8	-0.93	16.8	14.7	2.07
P.J. Brown	60	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	1	-13	15.0	15.8	-0.86	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Chris Andersen	54	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-9	7	15.5	15.0	0.51	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Casey Jacobsen	51	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-6	1	14.7	16.0	-1.38	15.9	15.7	0.20
Bostjan Nachbar	43	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-5	-1	15.7	14.9	0.76	16.1	15.6	0.48
Jackson Vroman	60	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	2	-15	15.6	14.7	0.91	15.8	15.9	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, VAN 68	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
NJN 115, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
GSW 115, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%