NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	9.0 [116]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): +9.7%
Charlotte Hornets	96		Comeback	1.8 [735]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -41.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.09	0.01	15	77%	0.30	8	-0.21	10	90%	0.09
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.08
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,-0.03	0.07	-0.09	0.01	6	75%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.03,-0.04	-0.12	0.07	-0.01	16	49%	0.14	6	-0.18	5	100%	0.04
Jamie Feick	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.41	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	14	38%	-0.21	2	-0.20	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	17	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	12	61%	0.09	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.05
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.00	10	75%	0.08	4	-0.12	12	100%	0.15
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.13	7	71%	0.03
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.12	0.02	14	47%	-0.12	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.10
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	8	18%	-0.11	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	28.3	14.7	26.0	2.5	42.5	139.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -27.7%

CHH +26.3%

CHH +27.2%

CHH +24.5%

NJN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHH	NBA	NJN	CHH	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	15.2	92.9	96.0	101.7
season	15.5	14.9		102.1	101.5
opponent	15.1	14.7		99.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.5	13.9	17.2	14.9	14.5
CHH	13.2	16.1	14.1	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Cage	14	15	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-7	10	14.3	14.6	-0.27	10.4	15.1	-4.74
Jim McIlvaine	30	30	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-7	10	13.4	15.0	-1.55	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Sherman Douglas	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-5	6	14.0	14.7	-0.67	14.6	14.4	0.18
Gheorghe Muresan	16	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-7	10	13.0	14.8	-1.81	19.3	13.6	5.77
Lucious Harris	23	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-3	2	15.7	14.1	1.59	14.7	14.4	0.32
Johnny Newman	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	0	-4	14.5	14.6	-0.11	13.5	15.1	-1.56
Jamie Feick	63	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	0	-4	14.7	14.3	0.37	14.5	14.3	0.25
Kendall Gill	76	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	14.1	15.7	-1.59	14.2	15.4	-1.20
Stephon Marbury	76	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	1	-6	14.7	14.0	0.67	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Scott Burrell	47	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	2	-8	15.6	13.5	2.06	13.9	14.9	-1.00
Keith Van Horn	85	85	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.37	-7	3	-10	14.6	14.3	0.27	15.1	10.4	4.74

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	88	86	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-5	14	14.0	17.7	-3.77	15.2	9.8	5.46
Elden Campbell	77	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-6	16	14.5	14.3	0.22	15.0	13.0	2.03
Eddie Jones	89	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.4	14.5	-0.03	14.4	15.2	-0.75
David Wesley	75	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	-3	10	14.9	13.1	1.75	14.6	14.3	0.23
Anthony Mason	77	76	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.32	-1	5	-6	14.3	14.9	-0.63	14.0	16.3	-2.33
Baron Davis	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	4	-4	13.9	14.6	-0.75	13.7	14.8	-1.12
Derrick Coleman	39	42	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	7	-10	15.6	13.7	1.94	14.0	14.9	-0.98
Brad Miller	11	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	5	-6	14.6	14.4	0.23	16.1	14.3	1.77
Eddie Robinson	16	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	9	-14	13.2	14.7	-1.40	12.9	14.8	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, UTA 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.59,1	91.1%
TOR 89, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.72,1	90.8%
PHX 91, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.78,0.58,1	90.7%