NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	7.9 [281]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +12.9%
San Antonio Spurs	97		Comeback	3.0 [731]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -23.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.01	16	56%	0.21	2	-0.08	7	57%	-0.06
Jim Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.02	5	70%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Brian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.03	-0.18	0.00	12	42%	-0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	-0.00	14	44%	-0.07	6	-0.17	4	100%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.09	0.00	18	43%	0.11	2	-0.08	8	37%	-0.05
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	2	33%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	9	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alex Scales	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	14	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	19	49%	-0.01	4	-0.17	11	73%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	31.4	16.4	24.2	2.6	39.3	139.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +4.2%

SAS +10.1%

SAS +26.6%

SAS +9.4%

PHX -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	12.7	16.4	15.6	91.9	98.0	104.4
season	13.8	16.3		110.2	106.0
opponent	15.6	16.1		99.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.6	11.9	13.9	13.6	12.7
SAS	16.1	16.4	17.4	15.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	45	45	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.10	15	-21	36	10.7	14.4	-3.72	16.4	16.4	0.09
Kurt Thomas	33	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-6	6	13.4	12.3	1.05	17.2	16.0	1.27
Eddie House	29	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-6	6	15.1	11.7	3.35	17.8	15.9	1.90
James Jones	17	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-4	2	14.8	12.3	2.57	17.8	16.1	1.69
Brian Grant	14	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	15.7	12.2	3.51	17.4	16.2	1.24
Pat Burke	6	6	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	6	-18	14.7	12.6	2.10	14.3	16.5	-2.19
Shawn Marion	87	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-3	0	12.3	15.4	-3.09	16.3	16.8	-0.46
Jim Jackson	33	35	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-3	0	13.5	12.3	1.14	16.2	16.5	-0.26
Steve Nash	81	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	2	-10	12.4	14.1	-1.66	16.1	17.9	-1.80
Raja Bell	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	1	-8	12.1	15.0	-2.90	15.9	18.0	-2.06
Boris Diaw	73	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	1	-8	12.6	13.0	-0.46	16.1	17.3	-1.19

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	53	56	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.23	19	-13	32	15.8	17.1	-1.25	13.4	11.8	1.60
Manu Ginobili	69	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-2	10	16.1	17.2	-1.11	12.4	13.4	-0.97
Nazr Mohammed	22	20	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	-2	10	17.7	16.0	1.66	15.4	12.0	3.39
Bruce Bowen	78	76	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	4	-2	16.0	17.7	-1.68	12.6	13.0	-0.45
Tim Duncan	76	76	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	1	4	16.3	16.7	-0.34	12.9	11.9	1.08
Beno Udrih	13	13	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-4	14	16.7	16.3	0.34	15.5	12.3	3.27
Tony Parker	87	88	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	11	-16	16.3	17.0	-0.69	12.0	18.4	-6.37
Michael Finley	43	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	5	-4	17.1	15.8	1.28	12.8	12.6	0.23
Alex Scales	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	4.0	16.5	-12.52	0.0	12.7	-12.70
Nick Van Exel	14	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	11	-16	18.0	16.1	1.87	13.3	12.6	0.67
Fabricio Oberto	11	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	12	-18	15.9	16.5	-0.55	9.4	13.1	-3.73
Rasho Nesterovic	28	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	13	-20	17.4	16.0	1.34	11.4	13.2	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.58,1	91.9%
LAC 99, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.84,1	91.0%
CLE 99, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.82,1	91.0%