NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	9.0 [124]		MVP	Devean George (LAL): +7.7%
Houston Rockets	88		Comeback	2.3 [402]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -17.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	3	83%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.08	-0.03	0.07	-0.04	14	47%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.09	0.02	9	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	15	62%	0.02	4	-0.16	9	78%	0.04
Rick Fox	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	14	35%	-0.10	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.05
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	3	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Steve Francis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	18	59%	0.15	6	-0.26	8	75%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	6	47%	-0.01	2	-0.15	7	86%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	18	35%	-0.15	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.7	38.0	17.6	24.4	2.4	43.5	154.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -4.5%

LAL +3.8%

LAL +0.7%

LAL +12.5%

LAL +37.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.8	14.1	15.2	96.7	92.6	101.7
season	15.3	15.4		105.6	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.1		103.5	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	15.9	18.0	18.2	16.8
HOU	15.5	12.9	14.7	13.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	65	66	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.58	8	-7	15	16.7	17.0	-0.38	14.4	13.4	0.95
Glen Rice	83	85	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-8	17	16.4	19.8	-3.33	14.0	14.5	-0.48
John Salley	28	27	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.78	-10	11	-21	20.0	15.4	4.64	12.9	14.5	-1.60
Ron Harper	57	57	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.67	-7	8	-15	17.7	15.3	2.44	14.1	14.1	-0.01
A.C. Green	76	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	3	-5	16.9	16.1	0.86	13.9	15.1	-1.26
Shaquille O'Neal	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-4	9	15.0	17.6	-2.59	15.8	13.3	2.52
Devean George	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	2	-3	16.0	16.8	-0.85	15.7	13.9	1.83
Brian Shaw	38	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.22	6	-5	11	15.6	17.6	-2.03	13.8	14.2	-0.39
Travis Knight	7	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	3	-5	18.7	16.6	2.10	16.5	13.9	2.65
Rick Fox	45	48	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.21	4	-3	7	16.1	17.4	-1.34	13.4	14.8	-1.37
Tyronn Lue	24	27	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.09	-5	6	-11	16.7	16.8	-0.03	13.7	14.2	-0.52

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	46	47	0.40	-0.90	1.30	-0.19	20	-21	41	13.7	14.4	-0.65	18.0	15.4	2.60
Bryce Drew	27	28	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.11	4	-5	9	12.4	14.7	-2.33	16.7	16.8	-0.13
Charles Barkley	18	18	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-6	11	13.6	14.2	-0.64	15.7	17.0	-1.37
Kelvin Cato	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	4	-9	17.3	13.1	4.18	19.0	16.1	2.95
Tony Massenburg	37	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	6	-13	14.0	14.1	-0.08	14.3	18.3	-3.92
Hakeem Olajuwon	70	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.56	14	-15	29	13.6	15.5	-1.96	18.0	13.3	4.65
Thomas Hamilton	11	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	7	-15	15.1	13.9	1.15	14.0	17.1	-3.15
Walt Williams	49	47	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.76	7	-8	15	14.2	13.9	0.27	18.2	15.3	2.90
Steve Francis	82	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.42	-6	5	-11	14.4	12.2	2.14	16.6	17.7	-1.11
Cuttino Mobley	72	68	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.30	-15	14	-29	13.9	14.5	-0.59	15.9	19.2	-3.24
Carlos Rogers	42	39	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.34	-14	13	-27	14.3	13.9	0.34	15.5	17.7	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.36,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.14,0.15,0	91.8%
BOS 102, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.71,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.22,0.31,0.16,0	91.4%
PHI 89, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.05,0.01,0	91.2%