NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	4.0 [982]		MVP	Jacque Vaughn (UTA): +3.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	79		Comeback	1.2 [1065]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -16.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Adam Keefe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	20	52%	0.08	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
John Stockton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	20	48%	-0.05	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	13	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	7	31%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.19	-0.03	-0.05	10	36%	-0.05	5	-0.11	8	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	27.3	15.8	27.8	1.8	30.2	129.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.2%

LAC -1.3%

UTA +7.7%

LAC -7.1%

UTA +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	15.2	94.9	83.2	101.7
season	16.3	15.6		104.5	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.2		107.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.3	13.2	15.5	14.6	14.1
LAC	14.9	16.9	16.5	14.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	74	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-4	23	13.8	15.1	-1.32	15.9	14.6	1.35
Jeff Hornacek	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	1	13	14.4	13.7	0.69	15.2	16.4	-1.23
John Stockton	58	55	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-1	17	14.1	14.2	-0.11	15.8	15.2	0.59
Bryon Russell	67	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	1	13	13.3	15.8	-2.44	15.7	15.4	0.28
Greg Ostertag	55	51	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	8	-1	13.9	14.4	-0.54	15.5	15.6	-0.09
Olden Polynice	44	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	7	1	14.4	13.9	0.54	15.6	15.5	0.09
Scott Padgett	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	11	-7	14.6	13.8	0.80	16.2	15.2	1.06
Howard Eisley	39	38	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	12	-9	14.1	14.1	-0.01	15.7	15.5	0.11
Adam Keefe	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	16.0	14.1	1.93	10.0	15.7	-5.71
Quincy Lewis	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	16.0	14.1	1.93	10.0	15.7	-5.71
Pete Chilcutt	22	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	18	-21	15.0	13.9	1.12	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Jacque Vaughn	29	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	20	-25	14.7	13.9	0.79	15.3	15.7	-0.46

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles R. Jones	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	10.4	16.0	-5.57	17.1	13.9	3.24
Brian Skinner	46	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-6	-3	15.6	15.6	-0.05	13.6	14.7	-1.16
Tyrone Nesby	61	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-6	-3	15.0	16.6	-1.65	14.0	14.4	-0.34
Maurice Taylor	84	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-4	-7	15.9	13.2	2.72	14.0	14.8	-0.73
Troy Hudson	67	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	0	-15	16.0	14.5	1.49	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Lamar Odom	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-3	-9	15.4	16.2	-0.78	14.3	13.5	0.75
Michael Olowokandi	60	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-5	-5	15.2	16.3	-1.15	14.7	13.2	1.58
Derek Anderson	73	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-3	-9	16.3	13.1	3.19	13.9	14.7	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHX 115, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.2%
PHX 98, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%